Unfortunately the carrot of NYC / MSG is over-rated and does not have the allure many on here like to think it has.. Otherwise why would the top HS kids chose places like Spokane, Lawrence, or heaven forbid, Storrs or Syracuse? To paraphrase Popeye, "We are what we are"...
The RIGHT coach maximizes the advantages of their locations, be it sleepy Storrs or sunny Gainesville. The best example and the best in the game is John Calipari. Whether it was Amherst or Memphis he got the players. Maybe players with an * but he got the players. He never let the lack of his conferences power ranking affect his recruiting success. His last 4 years at Memphis he went for 33 33, 38 and 33 wins. He earns over 8 million at UK with bonuses because he can get 10 high school all Americans. I think a guy earning 2 million should be good for at least 2 players in the bottom half of the top 100 every year. The results the last two years speak for themselves. He gets to the NCAA and is one and and does not reach the recruiting goals he is a gonner.
Agreed about the coach and ability to recruit. You must agree though, that Norm is a better recruiter selling Bill Self and Kansas, than SJU and Norm Roberts. Calipari can flat out sell, but SJU could win 4 championships in a row and never fork over $8 million a year to a coach. Lavin has done better than anyone in quite a while in terms of recruiting, but he did start 2011-2012 with an absolutely bankrupt roster. Still I'd agree that he's failed to bring in enough talent to offset any deficiencies he is as a strategist.
If you look at his whole body of work, I honestly do not think he's done such a stellar recruiting job. Yes he made a big splash initially, and he deserved a ton of credit for that, but that class never quite panned out. At that same time he turned away Ron Roberts who would have been a solid 4 year player for us. I'm not quite sure what happened with Polee and whether he was forced out, but there's another kid who would have been a serviceable 4 year player for us. He has failed to recruit a balanced roster in terms of players who compliment each other. He has not effectively spread out scholarships. He has failed to identify and recruit solid roll players and has grossly overestimated the abilities of kids like Hooper, Bourgault and now apparently Amar. He has not exactly ingratiated himself with the local high school and AAU coaches thus eliminating what has historically been our most effective pipeline. While its not my dime, he has traveled the country and the globe to find walk-ons and end of the bench type players. He has recruited kids with questionable academics without doing his due diligence(or ignoring the results) and without any kind of back-up plan. Other than his immediate predecessor, I would argue that he's actually done a worse recruiting job than any of our other coaches.
My point is, not to be overlooked is that instead of beginning his second year with 3-4 carryover players meriting playing time, Roberts left such an unbalanced roster that Lavin began year two with absolutely zero. To some extent, he is still crawling out of that hole now, and admittedly not filling that hole as quickly or with as much quality as needed to be a tourney team year in, year out.
As of this moment, we have at least three guys with NBA aspirations - Obekpa, Jordan, and to a lesser extent, Harrison. Sampson is in the NBA, even if you think you can't call the 76ers that, Harkless is in the NBA, and Sanchez is in the Dleague. Not a horrible resume, but again, he has to do better in that regard, and he knows that.
For those comparing our recruiting prowess to the Carnesecca days, I would say that with the rise of mid-majors and dozens of cable outlets, good players have many more choices to get noticed. 30 years ago if someone travelled anything but a top 20 program, you may not get a chance to ever see him play on TV unless his team was good enough to play on the CBS game of the week. Now on any given night there are multiple TV choices. I think this dilutes the type of talent SJU traditionally went after successfully, and makes recruiting significantly more difficult.
I don't disagree with what you're saying. It's no doubt a somewhat different ballgame, but the fundamentals of recruiting haven't changed completely. Hard work and personal relationships still mean an awful lot. What rational could he have for not immediately establishing ties with local programs? And what rational could he have for cutting loose Roberts and Polee, assuming he was forced out, while he was still trying to fill out a roster with D1 level talent. . And what rational could he have for needing to travel the world to bring in 4th and 5th tier talent? As I've mentioned before, in shear volume the NYC, Long Island and NJ schools produce plenty of quality kids. A huge part of being a successful recruiter means identifying and bringing in kids who will help you win, not just kids looking to showcase their talents with a "me first" mentality. Getting 4 and 5 star kids who are just use us as a stepping stone to the NBA does us no good if they are not part a winning program here. I don't follow the NBA so frankly I have no interest in what Samson or Moe do. I wish them both well as I would any kid anywhere, no more no less. Lavin's job here first and foremost is to win, not to say "I got so and so to the NBA". I don't care if he does it with NBA talent, D league level talent, European league talent or a combination of all 3.