[quote="rawdognyc" post=294238][quote="L J S A" post=294237][quote="rawdognyc" post=294236][quote="L J S A" post=294222]
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Disagree. Most on here figured year 3 was NIT and by year 4 NCAAs with a couple of wins. Any reasonable thinking fan would know that year 2 was essentially year 1 of the rebuild, since year one was a patchwork job to get warm bodies on the floor. Anyway, we were 1 quitter away last year from easily a plus .500 record and an NIT, possibly an NCAA depending on the over/under of wins we'd have with Marcus. This year should really be 20 plus wins and NCAA with some noise if Heron is eligible. That's pretty damn good for a rebuild for a new coach whose never coached before. Secondly, why would there be a rebuild? We have quality players on board and they'll obviously bring in some more, especially with a successful season. The only thing I'll agree with and will have no problem admitting this Mullin thing was a failure is if we don't make the tourney this year with the talent and depth we have. Otherwise I'm confused as to how people expected more during a complete rebuild of a program. In professional sports where they have free agency and draft picks etc. it still takes teams years on a rebuild. Why would anyone expect anything different for a college program?[/quote]
I'm not talking about fans. I was talking about Mullin and the people who hired him. I think they all expected to be more successful.
And if we lose Ponds, Heron, and Simon along with Clark, it will be a major rebuild if we don't get players in here. Eli Wright hasn't proven that he can take a big leap, and Caraher is going to be a 6'5" PF for us and his PPG probably won't translate from low major to high major if past players are any example.[/quote]
Thank you for your response. I don't see Simon leaving after this year. Heron possibly depending on draft positioning. We'll see what Dixon and Keita bring to the table this year. It will be good for Williams and Roberts to get some minutes too... Obviously you're correct about Caraher and Wright. However I think we success, we can grab 1 or 2 late signing top 100 seniors. I really feel a couple of them are waiting to see how we do before they decide on a college. However, in my opinion, we still won't be in rebuild mode even losing Ponds, Clark and possibly a couple of others. I'm not some homer when it comes to Mullin though. If we aren't successful this year, I think major changes would need to take place. This team has talent and depth the likes in which we haven't seen since the Jarvis years.[/quote]
You make some solid points. The year 1 doesn't count idea is silly to me but that's just my opinion. If we over achieved and won some more games I bet that year would of counted correct? It was what it was, a bad year with little talent, moving on. Year 2 was fine, 7-11 conference record was admirable with the talent we had.
This past year to me was a disappointment. With LoVett there's no doubt in my mind we would of been an ncaa tournament team. Our OOC performance gave us a great chance to lock up a bid. Obviously LoVett bailed and you know the rest. Without ML a tourney bid was a long shot but the NIT should of been a guarantee in my eyes.
Ponds, Simon, Ahmed, Clark, Owens, Trimble and Yakwe should of been a good enough 7 to make it happen. To me this is where the inexperience in coaching begins to show. If your going to win at SJU, a school that doesn't get top prospects on regular basis you absolutely have to be able to maximize your talent. This coming year if Heron plays we will get a bid to the big dance. How we earn that bid will say a lot about our staffs ability to coach.
If we are a bubble team and barely make it in that would be considered under acheiving relative to our talent. A top 8 seed is what I would consider a successful year, maybe a little higher but i'll set the bar as low as possible for now. I agree with you after Ponds, Heron and Clark leave it shouldn't be a total rebuild, hopefully Simon doesn't leave, but even then. That leaves us with 9 or 10 guys returning: Simon, Figueroa, Dixon, Keita, Wright, Trimble, Caraher, Williams, Roberts and Earlington. That's solid talent in the big east but not anything special either; middle of the pack.
Not enough to win on just having overwhelming talent, Mullin would need to be able to once again show he can get the most out of his roster to make the tournament. To me this upcoming season will show me everthing I need to know about Mullin and his ability to succeed here in the long (short?) term. Even with a good year I doubt 5 star recruits will come, so we need to see some coaching progress and ability to develop players. This year is important in so many ways. No pressure
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