Geez that's an awful lot that has to go right just for this team to be somewhat good next year. I'm not saying it can't happen but feels like trying to hit a 6 leg parlay.redmannorth post=465170 said:In other words we are like many other teams, with multiple moving parts.Mug Costanza post=465148 said:It says something that in order for us to have a good year next we need to hit on a lot of 50/50 (at best) IFs. IF Wheeler stays, IF we get a couple impact transfers, IF Storr plays like the exception rather than the rule for a freshman, IF Posh develops a jump shot. Asking for a lot...
No inside info at all but I believe Wheeler stays.
I don’t believe Storr will be a star but if he gives us half of what Champ did that would be good.
Hopefully 3 healthy players at the point this season, not Wusu, that would be a huge improvement.
Mathis went from a player that single handedly lost a game or two for us to a solid role player, who played within his game once he knew what was required.
Hopefully Stanley takes the big step from freshman to soph and is a regular contributor.
If the defence improves we will be much improved. Both Soriano and Nyiewe took huge steps towards the end of the season.
Lots of reasons to be optimistic about next season.
Monte post=465158 said:We are loosing our best player
and I wouldn't be surprised if Wheeler, who was our 3rd best player for the last 2 months and who will be 24 in Sept, decided to try his hand at a pro career somewhere. Not sure how we're going to replace that production. That leaves us with Posh, who hopefully will take a step forward, and a group of decent role players. The likelihood that Storr will be an immediate impact player is slim. So I'll add him to the list of decent role players for at least his freshmen season. I expect we'll grab a few players from the portal, but I don't expect any to be impact players. I hope I'm wrong about that. And with all due respect to those of you who are convinced that our front line of Soriano, Nyiwe, Stanley and Traore are solid, I wholeheartedly disagree. Maybe individually they are or can be solid role players, but collectively they are not going to instill fear in the rest of the big east. So, as it stands right now we head in to next season with a bunch of decent role players and one legit potential star. I say potential because because is not there yet. My thoughts on next season are probably less optimistic then they were going in to this past season. Most likely we'll finish towards the bottom end of big east, but if we pick up a couple of impact players and things break right for us, middle of the big east pack and a bubble tourney team. This is all subject to change based on who leaves and who comes.
If Wheeler returns and shows that he's ready to assume most of Champ's role(I ain't buying that multiple players can assume Champ's role), and if we retain most or all of the rest of the kids, and if we add 2 impact players(not 2 more role players), then my view will change. Plenty of time between now and the start of next season to improve the roster. But IMO this roster as it is now and including Storr and King, and even if you add a couple of more role players, will be lucky to finish in the middle of the Big East pack next season.kranmars post=465174 said:Monte post=465158 said:We are loosing our best player
and I wouldn't be surprised if Wheeler, who was our 3rd best player for the last 2 months and who will be 24 in Sept, decided to try his hand at a pro career somewhere. Not sure how we're going to replace that production. That leaves us with Posh, who hopefully will take a step forward, and a group of decent role players. The likelihood that Storr will be an immediate impact player is slim. So I'll add him to the list of decent role players for at least his freshmen season. I expect we'll grab a few players from the portal, but I don't expect any to be impact players. I hope I'm wrong about that. And with all due respect to those of you who are convinced that our front line of Soriano, Nyiwe, Stanley and Traore are solid, I wholeheartedly disagree. Maybe individually they are or can be solid role players, but collectively they are not going to instill fear in the rest of the big east. So, as it stands right now we head in to next season with a bunch of decent role players and one legit potential star. I say potential because because is not there yet. My thoughts on next season are probably less optimistic then they were going in to this past season. Most likely we'll finish towards the bottom end of big east, but if we pick up a couple of impact players and things break right for us, middle of the big east pack and a bubble tourney team. This is all subject to change based on who leaves and who comes.
Not arguing with you, but that is depressing.
Can’t imagine being better than middle of the pack from what we can now see. Adding very solid, difference making transfers to augment the base has not been SJU forte to this point, but we’ll see. I too sense Wheeler goes pro somewhere, so I would rather be surprised than assume re slotting him in now.Monte post=465180 said:If Wheeler returns and shows that he's ready to assume most of Champ's role(I ain't buying that multiple players can assume Champ's role), and if we retain most or all of the rest of the kids, and if we add 2 impact players(not 2 more role players), then my view will change. Plenty of time between now and the start of next season to improve the roster. But IMO this roster as it is now and including Storr and King, and even if you add a couple of more role players, will be lucky to finish in the middle of the Big East pack next season.kranmars post=465174 said:Monte post=465158 said:We are loosing our best player
and I wouldn't be surprised if Wheeler, who was our 3rd best player for the last 2 months and who will be 24 in Sept, decided to try his hand at a pro career somewhere. Not sure how we're going to replace that production. That leaves us with Posh, who hopefully will take a step forward, and a group of decent role players. The likelihood that Storr will be an immediate impact player is slim. So I'll add him to the list of decent role players for at least his freshmen season. I expect we'll grab a few players from the portal, but I don't expect any to be impact players. I hope I'm wrong about that. And with all due respect to those of you who are convinced that our front line of Soriano, Nyiwe, Stanley and Traore are solid, I wholeheartedly disagree. Maybe individually they are or can be solid role players, but collectively they are not going to instill fear in the rest of the big east. So, as it stands right now we head in to next season with a bunch of decent role players and one legit potential star. I say potential because because is not there yet. My thoughts on next season are probably less optimistic then they were going in to this past season. Most likely we'll finish towards the bottom end of big east, but if we pick up a couple of impact players and things break right for us, middle of the big east pack and a bubble tourney team. This is all subject to change based on who leaves and who comes.
Not arguing with you, but that is depressing.
Monte post=465187 said:One other thing; even if Pinzon, Stanley and Nyiwe take a step forward next season, they still only become better role players. And maybe Traore, who was redshirted on a team in desperate need of frond court help, gives us what Stanley gave us this year. I highly doubt we get more than that. Even if those things happen, all we're doing is giving existing role players more PT to make up for the loss of Champ, Smith, Coburn and maybe Wheeler. And while I do like Soriano, IMO he does not have a ton of upside. So basically, best case scenario, realistically we are going in to next season with more or less the same level of talent as this season. Again, that can change, but the idea of bringing in role players as we did last season, and combining them with the existing players plus King and Storr, is not making me feel very optimistic about next season.
I'm not saying it's not possible, I'm saying we can't bank on it and I'm not expecting t it. Champ was a 10PPG starter as a freshmen. So he wasn't exactly a role player except maybe early on his freshman year. Could Pinzon or Stanley take a huge leap forward and be an impact player? Of course they can, but we haven't seen nearly enough from them to think that's likely. Who else do you think is capable of a Champ-like leap? Mathis? Wusu? I just don't see it. As for Soriano, I didn't say he had no upside, I just think he has limited upside. In other words, maybe he gives us 25 MPG and 8/7 next season. Not bad if he's surrounded by a lot of talent, but not enough if he's one of our best players.Amaseinyourface post=465199 said:Monte post=465187 said:One other thing; even if Pinzon, Stanley and Nyiwe take a step forward next season, they still only become better role players. And maybe Traore, who was redshirted on a team in desperate need of frond court help, gives us what Stanley gave us this year. I highly doubt we get more than that. Even if those things happen, all we're doing is giving existing role players more PT to make up for the loss of Champ, Smith, Coburn and maybe Wheeler. And while I do like Soriano, IMO he does not have a ton of upside. So basically, best case scenario, realistically we are going in to next season with more or less the same level of talent as this season. Again, that can change, but the idea of bringing in role players as we did last season, and combining them with the existing players plus King and Storr, is not making me feel very optimistic about next season.
Coming into his soph year, I would have thought Champ was going to be really good role player. This year I would have guessed Wheeler would be 5 point scorer. Guys improve and grow into different roles. Who’s to say none of those guys you are penciling in as a role players don’t take a jump. And BTW I’m mostly with you when it comes to not expecting new pieces to be able to step in and provide anything. It is the continuity that gives me most hope. Yes I said hope.
Surprised you don’t think Soriano has any upside. We saw him playing much better as the season got going. He’s definitely got skills as an offensive player. His consistency was a huge issue.
BR I too am from Brooklyn and I too love Posh, but I don't think he is yet at the level of Barkley and certainly not MJ. Saying that he is not yet a star is no knock on him, he's a phenomenal basketball player and we are most fortunate to have him. But he is off injured, inconsistent and on at least 3 occasions, did not start for questionable reasons. I hope all those issues resolve themselves next season and he blossoms in to an all-american level player who can carry us most games. But until that happens, IMO he comes up short of being called a star.BrooklynRed post=465183 said:With respect to Posh and those who do not consider him to be a star, I believe that he is being sold short. He has completed 2 years and is developing as a player. He has been remarkable in his growth at what is probably the premier position in college Bball today. Compare his year 1 to 2 and see that he improved in virtually every statistic. (Yes, his 3point shooting %age can improve but that is not the primary function for a PG.) His shooting percentage and assists per game both we increased. Before the season, I felt that he needed to increase the assists numbers which he did. Having seen point guards at SJU for about 40+ years, he is among the top three with Jackson and Barkley (also consider the players around those 2). Statistically even with Barkley and ahead of Jackson at this point of their careers. He is unique in his relentlessness. I might be prejudiced as we are both Brooklyn guys.
Monte post=465224 said:BR I too am from Brooklyn and I too love Posh, but I don't think he is yet at the level of Barkley and certainly not MJ. Saying that he is not yet a star is no knock on him, he's a phenomenal basketball player and we are most fortunate to have him. But he is off injured, inconsistent and on at least 3 occasions, did not start for questionable reasons. I hope all those issues resolve themselves next season and he blossoms in to an all-american level player who can carry us most games. But until that happens, IMO he comes up short of being called a star.BrooklynRed post=465183 said:With respect to Posh and those who do not consider him to be a star, I believe that he is being sold short. He has completed 2 years and is developing as a player. He has been remarkable in his growth at what is probably the premier position in college Bball today. Compare his year 1 to 2 and see that he improved in virtually every statistic. (Yes, his 3point shooting %age can improve but that is not the primary function for a PG.) His shooting percentage and assists per game both we increased. Before the season, I felt that he needed to increase the assists numbers which he did. Having seen point guards at SJU for about 40+ years, he is among the top three with Jackson and Barkley (also consider the players around those 2). Statistically even with Barkley and ahead of Jackson at this point of their careers. He is unique in his relentlessness. I might be prejudiced as we are both Brooklyn guys.
Love Posh but forget about Jackson and Barkley. He’s not at the level of Ponds, Hardy or Hatten. Hopefully he continues to improve but I don’t think he has the offensive game to dominate individually as some of those former stars did.
He's the best on ball defender I've seen at SJU maybe Hatten was better and all the losing since has made my mind hazy but there isnt a game where there isnt something he does where I dont say wow whether it's defense or running out a ball out of bounds and throwning it off another player no matter what the score or going for offensive rebounds better than guys a lot taller than himAmaseinyourface post=465263 said:Hard to be a legitimate big time star in college when you can’t have the ball in your hands late. At this stage, for about 38 minutes in an up and down game, Posh is a star.
Monte post=465218 said:I'm not saying it's not possible, I'm saying we can't bank on it and I'm not expecting t it. Champ was a 10PPG starter as a freshmen. So he wasn't exactly a role player except maybe early on his freshman year. Could Pinzon or Stanley take a huge leap forward and be an impact player? Of course they can, but we haven't seen nearly enough from them to think that's likely. Who else do you think is capable of a Champ-like leap? Mathis? Wusu? I just don't see it. As for Soriano, I didn't say he had no upside, I just think he has limited upside. In other words, maybe he gives us 25 MPG and 8/7 next season. Not bad if he's surrounded by a lot of talent, but not enough if he's one of our best players.Amaseinyourface post=465199 said:Monte post=465187 said:One other thing; even if Pinzon, Stanley and Nyiwe take a step forward next season, they still only become better role players. And maybe Traore, who was redshirted on a team in desperate need of frond court help, gives us what Stanley gave us this year. I highly doubt we get more than that. Even if those things happen, all we're doing is giving existing role players more PT to make up for the loss of Champ, Smith, Coburn and maybe Wheeler. And while I do like Soriano, IMO he does not have a ton of upside. So basically, best case scenario, realistically we are going in to next season with more or less the same level of talent as this season. Again, that can change, but the idea of bringing in role players as we did last season, and combining them with the existing players plus King and Storr, is not making me feel very optimistic about next season.
Coming into his soph year, I would have thought Champ was going to be really good role player. This year I would have guessed Wheeler would be 5 point scorer. Guys improve and grow into different roles. Who’s to say none of those guys you are penciling in as a role players don’t take a jump. And BTW I’m mostly with you when it comes to not expecting new pieces to be able to step in and provide anything. It is the continuity that gives me most hope. Yes I said hope.
Surprised you don’t think Soriano has any upside. We saw him playing much better as the season got going. He’s definitely got skills as an offensive player. His consistency was a huge issue.
mjmaherjr post=465265 said:He's the best on ball defender I've seen at SJU maybe Hatten was better and all the losing since has made my mind hazy but there isnt a game where there isnt something he does where I dont say wow whether it's defense or running out a ball out of bounds and throwning it off another player no matter what the score or going for offensive rebounds better than guys a lot taller than himAmaseinyourface post=465263 said:Hard to be a legitimate big time star in college when you can’t have the ball in your hands late. At this stage, for about 38 minutes in an up and down game, Posh is a star.