a take on the yankees chances to make the wild card.
*New York Yankees
Record: 59-51, holding first Wild Card spot, two games up.
Playoff projections on MLB.com: 74.7 percent
What's at stake: The Yankees still haven't finished below .500 since 1992 -- a truly astonishing feat -- but they missed the playoffs last year and haven't won a postseason game since Oct. 12, 2012. This season, they've gotten their fans invested again through youth, smart Deadline moves and, of course, a 6-foot-7 rookie named Aaron Judge. If they somehow fail to make the postseason, the whole Yankees Carrying Unstoppable Upward Momentum narrative would be stalled. The Yankees are at last buyers again. At the very least, they need that Wild Card Game, and they probably need to host it.
Fans' reasonable optimism level: High. The Yanks are still in a competitive division, and they still somehow have 10 games left with the Red Sox -- a fifth of their remaining season -- but according to Baseball Reference's Simple Rating System, they've been the third-best team in baseball this year behind the Dodgers and the Astros. They have to be considered the Wild Card favorites moving forward … unless they end up winning their division.