I'm thinking we are up 3 on U Conn in the loss column. If we beat them this weekend we will be up 4 with 3 to play so that eliminates them.
We are up 2 on both Creighton and Marquette in the loss column. Since Marquette is the last game of the season if we beat DePaul tonight, U Conn this weekend, at Butler, and Seton Hall then going into the last game at Marquette we would still be up 2 in the loss column with one game to play.
Bottom line is (unless I'm wrong) if we win the next 4 we will lock up the regular season title irrespective of the last game.
As DK correctly points out the last game might make something of a difference in NCAA seeding.
I am not concerned about tonight or SHU. As between at Butler and home for UConn I am actually more concerned about at Butler, I think. But SJU will obviously be favored in all 4 and if they win them the Marquette game is meaningless - neither they nor Creighton can make up a 2 game deficit with one to play.
Now, if we lose one of the next 4, the Marquette game may be for all the marbles - and it may very well be all the marbles for us v Creighton, they have a much easier road the rest of the way than us or Marquette.
I don't know what the tiebreakers are though - it's possible that we would win on that basis even if tied with either Marquette or Creighton but I'd rather not worry about that....