Rosenthal
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No decision is necessary just yet. But if I were running the Yankees, I’d think twice about signing the oft-injured Aaron Judge to a monster extension. Instead, I’d consider taking that money and going hard after Francisco Lindor when he becomes a free agent after the 2021 season.
Nothing against Judge, one of the game’s most dominant performers and seemingly the rightful heir to Derek Jeter with the way he conducts himself on and off the field. But no longer is it safe to assume Judge will be a Yankee forever. The Yankees surely are concerned about the 6-foot-7, 282-pound right fielder’s durability, even though he told reporters he “begged” the team not to place him on the injured list with his latest issue, a strained right calf.
At least one of Judge’s injuries — the chip fracture he suffered in his right wrist after getting hit by a pitch in July 2018 — was fluky. His toughness should not be in question, not after he played through a stress fracture in his rib last postseason, an injury that also would have sidelined him for the start of this season if the sport had not shut down in mid-March. Still, his pattern of breakdowns is concerning and does not figure to improve as he gets older.
After appearing in 155 games as a rookie, Judge was limited to 112 in 2018 and 102 in ’19, when he missed two months with a strained left oblique. The Yankees already will owe their other outsized and oft-injured slugger, Giancarlo Stanton, $208 million from 2021 to ’27 when he does not opt out after this season. Great player, great guy, much like Judge. But would the Yankees want to make another uncertain long-term investment when Judge’s first free-agent year would be in 2023, his age-31 season?
Lindor is eligible to hit the market one year earlier at a significantly younger age, entering his age-28 season. He has missed only 30 games since 2016, making his only career trip to the IL at the start of last season with a strained right calf and a left ankle sprain. And he is every bit as magnetic as Judge, a native of Puerto Rico with the nickname “Mr. Smile” who would light up New York.
If the Yankees could pick only one player to pay $35 million-plus annually — and who knows, they might not want to pay any player that much after signing free-agent right-hander Gerritt Cole to a nine-year, $324 million contract last offseason — Lindor certainly would be a reasonable choice. But even he would not be a must-have.
Defensive skills can erode quickly for middle infielders, which is one reason the Yankees declined to re-sign Didi Gregorius entering his age-30 season. Gregorius’ replacement, Gleyber Torres, 23, is seven years younger than Gregorius, three years younger than Lindor and under club control through 2024.
Torres’ defense is not at Lindor’s level — his six errors are the most among major-league shortstops — and he might offer greater impact as an offensive second baseman. But the Yankees likely could win a championship in a 162-game season with Torres at short, particularly if they re-signed second baseman DJ LeMahieu, a potential free agent who is 32, to a short-term deal.
Then again, the Yankees could re-sign LeMahieu, secure Lindor the following winter and figure out how to make the pieces fit over time, just as they did after adding LeMahieu initially. Judge still would be with them through ’22, albeit at arbitration-inflated salaries that might make for a tight payroll squeeze. Yet at the moment, the team’s future commitments — $100.3 million in ’22, $78.6 million in ’23, and $74.8 million in ’24, according to RosterResource.com — do not appear oppressive.
Again, this is not a decision the Yankees even need to consider before the end of 2021. Heck, Judge might play 150-plus games next season and end any thought the team should seek another star position player long-term. Still, the Yankees already have Stanton signed through ’27, Aaron Hicks through ’25 and Clint Frazier and Mike Tauchman under club control through ’24.
They can pursue other alternatives. They can pursue Lindor