L J S A post=437402 said:
I've now read in three different places that the Big 10 is going to pursue USC. That's crazy.
Yes - as I posted earlier on this thread it would not surprise me at all if instead of taking on the Big 12, the Big 10 swipes 2-4 top-end teams from the PAC 12. Then the remainders of the Big 12 and Pac-12 merge.
From a business standpoint the remaining Big 12 teams offer very little to the Big 10. It doesn't expand their market, and doesn't add anything on the football front which is where the money is. So it makes more sense for the Big 10 to try to collect USC plus either 1 West Coast partner for them or 3 to make up half a division. That gets them a West Coast TV market, increases the value of their rights, and probably puts them back ahead of the SEC at the top of the TV dollar heap.
So it ends up with the Big 10 and SEC with the lion's share of the clout and the dollars. After that there's a big drop to the ACC.
After that there's another big drop to the Pac-12 and the AAC (which might take some of the remaining Big 12 teams also).
And then you have the non-football conferences.
The real question is that once the Big 10 and SEC finish consolidating at the top, what happens to the ACC. If it can get ND into the conference full time then it might be OK between ND and Clemson and maintain some relevance. But if it can't it is going to get interesting with what happens to the ACC, Pac 12, and AAC. I'd expect to see some further consolidation down the road into sort of a new version of Conference USA in an (futile) effort to keep pace with the big boys.
Truthfully I don't care about any of it other than as a spectator sport EXCEPT to the extent that it impacts the Big East and college basketball. Hopefully the mergers and split from the NCAA will only have a minor impact on the basketball side of things.