Pre Season Predictions 2023

We have put together real solid stretches on play- but not a full game yet. Is there any doubt that Rick won't get these guys there?

Maybe the majority of our expectations of player ability haven't been met out of the gate... but I have no doubt that Rick will get the most he can out of everyone on the roster.


Think we see much more cohesive unit by the Xavier game.
Wow... solid rational analysis buckets...
 
Being optimistic, I think the road to 12 wins is:

4-0 vs DePaul, Hoyas
6-4 vs friars, butler, SH, X, nova
2-4 vs Uconn, Marq, Creighton
so close. the stretch of way too many blown halftime leads and losses by 3 points or fewer hurt our goal for at least 12 wins.
 
Now that we are closer to Big East season,
Here's how I see it, in this crazy quantitative system of evaluating wins and losses:

In the Big East besides St. John's:

Good to very good teams: Villanova, Marquette, Creighton, UCONN, Xavier

Mediocre to Bad: Butler, DePaul, Georgetown, Providence, Seton Hall

Splitting the league this way, record means less than Quad 1 wins. We could go 9-1 against the bottom half of the league, but if we go 2-8 against the top half, likely may be on the wrong side of the bubble even at 11-9.

On the other hand, if we go 5-5 against the top half of league and 6-4 against the bottom half, we are much more likely to get a bid.

So obviously the goal is to mop up the bottom half of the league, but more importantly, be very competitive against the top 5 teams as well.

Not a prediction, but a reasonable strategy on the outlook for the season.
11-9. On the bubble.
 
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