[quote="Chicago Days" post=295431][quote="SJU1512" post=295405]If Mullin wins here it renders a lot of the debates that seem to dominate mostly moot. Let's modestly call it 21-22 wins + Top 5 in BE more years than not + an NCAA 2-3 out of 5. Might seem remote for SJU but shouldn't be because other similarly situated programs in our conference are doing better than that like it's a layup line.
If Mullin wins like that I really don't care if he coaches games via FaceTime from a scorers' table in his house in California, leaves 1 of the 3 assistant slots entirely vacant (think of the $$ savings!) and puts a bowl of rice on the chair next to him during games to troll the fan base, parts with a highly paid associate HC after 1 year and has that compensation scenario linger with downstream implications for years, has suboptimal staff composition, loses high profile / high risk recruits, loses freshman transfers before the first day of classes freshman year, and goes on 4 month vacation during spring and summer AAU circuits and fields a team of exclusively transfers.
I'm happy there has been real progress. I'm disappointed there hasn't been more. The lack of additional improvement would be easier to accept if not completely acceptable if it was clear the men's basketball program was running with max effort and operational efficiency. Maybe it is, maybe it isn't, but it certainly isn't clear.
Perception matters, definitely in this sport, and while mistakes happen that perception coupled with at least some of the blunders in the first paragraph likely hasn't helped and isn't helping. If and until we get to some sustained success that perception - again even if inaccurate - matters more, there is less margin for error re: some of these mistakes, and it would probably be helpful if it seemed like basic things well within program's control (i.e. staff construction) was making things easier as opposed to potentially more difficult. More than enough external competition for SJU hoops to seem to be fighting itself as often as it appears to.
Missing on a projection happens, shifting the goal-post to reset expectations is frustrating, missing again on your own reset projection is borderline inexcusable. Rewind two years and there was a lot of chatter regarding the crucial nature of '18 class, which ended up being supplemental from a HS perspective. Focus and buzz then shifted to big '19 class, and with a lot of time to go unfortunately doesn't look like there is a tremendous amount of momentum currently. With continued open questions about whether SJU has positioned itself for max recruiting success.
We'll see, and even if not there are select few examples of programs around the country that are winning without quality HS talent. But Ponds committed to SJU almost 3 years ago. I don't think at that time there was any reasonable expectation that 3 years later he would be the only Top 100 player recruited directly out of HS on the roster. This is not a high bar to clear in 36 months of recruiting. Maybe an excellent year upcoming propels things, but until something changes on that front it's an awful fact pattern in a critical area.
The progress is great, but a key question is this staff doing everything in their control to have even more success than incremental improvement? On some level it seems like this staff is being afforded some of the flexibility and excuse me's that usually comes with winning, without having won. If and when they do I don't care much about any of this stuff. Until they do it's frustrating.[/quote]
Good post, but your parameters in paragraph#2 are more recipes for disaster than ‘success’.
Successful programs do the extreme opposite.
There’s a simple formula to success in college hoops, it begins and ends with quality recruits, year in and year out.
Relying on one recruiting option for consistent success—transfers—is a loser’s bet.[/quote]
Thanks Chicago. Second paragraph was tongue in cheek
There are definitely better ways to run a program, more efficient ways to win, etc. than others. That being said there's a lot of ways to get there and if SJU is winning and running a clean program I don't really care which route we take. Until we get there would be nice if things were a little more "standard" on a few different fronts