While I wouldn't really be happy with 9-9 in the BE and a first round BET loss, I think we might be able to make the Tournament under those circumstances. As I've said, the NET for our first 12 games is solid and won't change much. Right now we are 3-3 in conference and #34.
I'm not confident at all in saying we'd make it, but I absolutely think we'd be on the bubble and could go either way at 9-9. That's even factoring in a loss to Duke/1st round BET loss. At that point our NET would be around #43 I'd guess.
Just something to counter some ridiculous predictions (like Jon saying we need 12 BE wins). 10 wins should easily get us in. 9 would have us on the bubble.
Also, while the BE provides plenty of Q1/Q2 opportunities, keep in mind:
Georgia Tech (N) is now #78
VCU (N) is now #52
Rutgers (A) is now #136
Given that all 3 are either N/A, those are 3 pretty solid OOC games. Bowling Green (H) is also #123.