beast of the east
Active member
This is amateur hour. The school should be absolutely be ashamed of itself. Honestly, there is a reason why our program has been the pits for years and it extends well beyond the head coach.
The University should have been prepared to make a decision immediately following the end of the season. Whether or not the team beat SDSU should have had no bearing on the decision. These conflicting reports about Lavin's future are an embarrassment.
If in fact Lavin is retained, there is little doubt in my mind that the relationship will be strained. Notwithstanding his public pronouncements, we will have a head coach that is resentful for how this is being handled. And whether you like Lavin or not, who could blame him for being peeved.
With all due respect, St. John's doesn't have to do anything. Lavin is under contract for one more season. Schools do not have to announce annually they intend to bring back coaches still under contract. In most cases it would actually be very weird. If his contract was up after this season, it would be a different story.
Our season ended less than a week ago. You guys need to relax. If they intent to let Lavin go, they'll announce it. If they extend him, they'll announce it. A reasonable time frame for a decision is Final Four weekend.
This is not an easy decision. Lavin didn't go 10-20 or 28-3. He didn't do anything awful to embarrass the school unlike some want everyone to believe. He graduated all of his seniors and his senior spoke glowingly about him the relationship they have with him. This call comes down to one question "Can St. John's do better?"
"Can St. John's do better" is the most sensible sentence I have read in the last few days. No hysteria, no predictions, no freaking out. That's what it should come down to. With Norm, you couldn't help but do better. With Lavin, it's hard to say. When it comes to recruiting, he could get hot again. I hope the admin has evaluated what is out there, and will extend if there are no better options.
To me, a realistic goal is, "Can we annually reside in the top 4 places of the Big East, and top 3 in most years?" If we are in the top 4 annually, even 8 out of 10 years, we'd get 8 bids in 10 years. From what we've seen of Lavin, can he deliver that?
Forget about becming one of the top teams in the country for a minute. Do any of us believe that Lavin can consistently make us one of the top teams in our conference?
The answer to that question is obviously no.
I'm torn about this entire issue, because while I think we can do better than Lavin I also know from our recent experience (Norm, Mahoney) that we can do worse.
Here is the troubling thing in my mind... The season that just ended (21-12, not a factor in the BE regular season or BET, one and done in the Dance) would have been considered mediocre to SJ fans not too long ago. Looie had those kind of seasons almost every year -- and every few years he put together better teams that actually made a little noise.
With Lavin, I truly believe that the season we just had was the high water mark. We will not do better than this. These were all his players, mostly seniors, and were the remnants of his supposedly signature recruiting class. I do not believe he is capable of putting together a Final Four caliber team even one time (his recruiting is not nearly as good as advertised), and if he did get that level of talent to commit to SJ and actually get them eligible and on the court, I do not believe he is a good enough coach to actually get them there.
SO by extending Lavin, I believe we are signing on for an extended run of mediocrity. Some years we'll be pretty good and we'll be in the top half of the BE, and have the kind of year we just had, and some years (when the cupboard is bare, like next year will be) we will be in the bottom half of the BE and will be an afterthought.
The only hope I have in regards to your high water mark comment is that this roster was very far from perfect. I do envison a Lavin roster that is stocked with talent at all positions and a deeper bench of capable subs who will eventually become starters. Too much to ask?