[quote="MBaldi" post=298003]While the out-of-conference schedule is not strong (which, I agree, may provide some benefits), I think some have overstated how weak it really may be.
For example, although Rutgers is the perennial bottom dweller of its conference, it’s still from a power conference and playing at the Rac is never an easy task. Temple has legit NCAA aspirations, especially in Dunphy’s final year. Georgia Tech has some talent, and is still from another power conference. And Duke is obviously, well, Duke
It’s too bad that the schedule has been so maligned, but hopefully the pieces are now in place to moot the concerns. I would not be overly disappointed (or surprised) with 11-2 — only time will tell....[/quote]
I don't want to derail a great thread like this, but from what I've seen we have the worst OOC for any major conference team. Several people have theorized other schedules being worse, but I did the math and ours is still the worst (based on last year's results). The problem isn't just the top, but also the bottom. Those 4/5 300+ teams we'll be playing will actually work against us even if we win. Obviously things can change once the games are played.
Now, that said, getting Heron is a HUGE relief. He should put us over the top and we should make the NCAA, period. The schedule still could affect seeding, but aside from that I do believe we make it regardless. I think we'll finish with 11+ wins in conference play, which should be enough to make it.
Point being, I'm not as concerned about the schedule as I once was. This is no bubble team.