Easy. He knows that no matter how great a coach he is, he will never see a Final 4
He's already been to the final four. He's been to as many final fours since 2010 as Saint Johns has since the Eisenhower administration.
AND he gets big program feelers or offers from less dysfunctional organizations EVERY off season and turns them down. He may be a lifer, he may have a couple jobs he's waiting for, but he's definitely not going to be interested in STJ
Think many are underestimating the appeal of the St Johns job.
I suspect quality mid major guys like Marshall, Miller and their agents are keeping the STJ job on their radar, even if it is not their 1st choice. And the next tier of coaching prospects like Hurley and others would all kill for the job.
Is it possible that some are overestimating the appeal of Utopia (and Union)?
No. If Lavin, who was a mediocre coach and who didn't work, got us 2 NCAA tourney bids in 5 years, imagine what a real HC could do? The foundation is here for a good HC to resurrect the program. Still hoping CM is that guy, but if he is not there will be someone else. Odds are in our favor that the next hire will be the right one.
The question is not what a good HC would do. The question is why hasn't the school hired a good HC (and I'm talking Marshall good) since they let Lou come back in 1973. None of the coaches hired by STJ were hot by Miller/Marshall standards, Fran comes closest though he really was only hot regionally. So has the school been at fault as a bad judge of coaching talent (or simply too cheap, though that wouldn't be the case since the Lavin hire) or is the school just not that attractive to a hot or big name coach? That is the question.
Good questions!
The biggest reason in the first 3 hires post Carnesecca was that the school was notorious for being frugal when it comes to paying staff. Mahoney, Fraschilla, Jarvis and Roberts were all hired on the cheap. Mahoney never deserved " a chance" as some have opinioned. His chance came at his alma mater where he could have earned consideration but he was an abject failure there and was fired.
The second reason you yourself answered. Fraschilla and Jarvis were, based on success and experience, good hires.
Both did not see St. John's as their final destination and their selfish antics cost them their jobs.
The Norm Roberts hire was just plain shortsighted stupidity by a morally corrupt president who fired Jarvis a few games into a season. We have not recovered since although Father Harry got some nice suits and trips courtesy of his Chinese sponsors.
As far as not seeing the school as attractive for talented coaches you are partially correct. This Vincention school has been notorious for firing and ending the careers of previous coaches. None of our previous coaches were hired away from better programs so we are likely perceived as a program that hires coaches bound to fail. In the earlier days it was also the crap facilities and complete lack of a college atmosphere. Lavin, yes Fun, Lavin, changed that perception because he was the first National Brand coach interested in the job. We became acknowledge back page news again. Everyone knows the rest.
Mullin was also a big news hire but was a complete mystery starting out tabula rasa. Both the coaching and assembling of the working parts of the team however have been haphazard. Matt Master Recruiter is not bringing Mullin complimentary pieces to work with. There is not one Big East worthy "physical " player on the entire roster. If he is doing the recruiting he is a big part of the problem.
As far as being attractive as a "location" New York City is the capital of the world....period. You need to focus on coaches that seek that limelight and who are eager to sell it to recruits. I've been to over a hundred college campuses and more college towns that I can remember. Some coaches like those small college town experiences. We don't want those guys. Anyone who's been to Storrs, Syracuse, Spokane, Philadelphia, Columbia, Cincinnati, Memphis, College Park, and Moraga will tell you it wasn't the location that attracted recruits although I love Moraga.
It is a reputation of success. The success that does not have to go back to the years before the Internet.
John Calipari made Amherst and Memphis destinations. Mark Few made Spokane a destination. Randy Bennett made little Moraga and St. Mary's a destination, especially for "Aussies".
We have the destination. We have the academics to attract the non Rhodes scholars of high school basketball. What we have had the most of however is the blind leading the blind.
In the end austour, yes, it has been the school's shortsightedness and frugality that have positioned it where it belongs now at the bottom. That has fostered an atmosphere of failure that keeps repeating itself. Without sustainable success nothing will ever change. We follow the program as alums but no one in New York City gives a crap anymore.