I have been a fan since the early 1980's. I have read just about every post on this board since the very beginning, but I have only posted once or twice ever. I couldn't even figure out how to post without hitting reply. LOL. I wanted to note my background, because I suspect that the votes are coming from many like me who don't post regularly. (ie the vote total is the genuine view of the board and not just a product of yes people being better at creating alternative login accounts. LOL)
I voted yes and here is why. The last 5 years have been a very bumpy road. I have been disappointed by the constant drama. However, when you are not already at the top, I think it hard to be as selective in avoiding players with baggage (see SHU for example). It would help to get us over the hump, if Lavin was also an outstanding game coach, but he is not. As with many fans, I have not been that happy with our style of play. However, there are a lot of very successful coaches (several still in the current sweet 16) who more or less play the same style as us. As much as I don't like our style some times, I am not convinced that our style of play is really holding us back. it should be noted that Lavin also clearly has some coaching strengths. Particularly, he seems to be a very good player manager. How in the world he gets the kids not to quit when we have some bad losses is beyond me, and how he completely changed DLO's attitude is impressive. The bottom line is, if Lavin can recruit at the level he has generally achieved at both UCLA and here, I think we will be in the tournament pretty consistently.
The main question for the immediate future then is why Lavin hasn't reloaded us with talent, particularly last years class. The thing I keep coming back to is how Lavin answered a question from a reporter about our lack of recent recruiting. I believe it was during a post game interview during our bad streak, but I am not sure. Lavin's response was basically, he acknowledged that we have had some major problems overall, but insisted that recruiting is not one of them. He said that we are in the best position recruiting-wise that we have been in since he got here. Now I know Lavin's tendency to exaggerate, but the way he kind of laughed when answering the question gave me the distinct impression that this is not BS. So, I will wait and see.
My guess is that if they extend him, this years and next years recruiting class will turn out better then some expect. If so, 2 years from now I imagine that we will be back to the talent level we had last year and this year. If we have that kind of talent consistently, we will generally be in the tournament and hopefully sometimes make a deeper run. I would be happy with that. If the recruiting does not go well, I hope that the extension has a lower buyout. But based on Lavin's comment, and his large body of work recruiting wise, I believe that we generally have a better chance at quickly getting back to that talent level by keeping him, rather than going in a new direction.
That is why I voted yes.