can anyone say win out .. win be tourney and go in as 6 seed
If we win out (which would include a win over Nova) I believe we will crack the Top 25. if we then win the BE Tourney I think we would end up ranked around 16-18. We could make it to a 5 seed.
Hard to say that isn't possible given how well the team is playing. However Nova is going to be very tough without Obekpa. Not sure we have enough frontcourt depth to win that game without him. Sanchez will pick up fouls and Gift can't play with Pinkston or Efechu. Sampson will have to be a beast, pick up the guards in the lane when they beat us off the dribble, AND stay out of foul trouble. That's going to be a tall order.
I think we will still be in the tournament if we lose to Nova, win the rest of the regular season games, and win at least one in the BE tourney. We could end up in the 8-9 game or on the wrong side of the 7-10 or 6-11, though. However if we play with the sort of intensity we've been showing, we could make a little noise.
There are still many things about our approach that worry me. We get beat off the dribble by everyone, we cannot stop a back door cut, and our offense is still very rudimentary (nothing at all is run off the ball). I also don't like our first half substitution patterns, or the fact that we routinely seem unprepared and lacking in intensity to start games.. I think that part of the reason we have been a second-half team is that Coach does a much better job of sticking with what's working in the second half.
On the other hand you have to give Coach credit for recruiting an athletic team, keeping the faith that they would gel enough to out-athlete a lot of teams notwithstanding the aforementioned deficiencies, and getting the team to buy into that vision. He certainly predicted this. You also have to give him credit for being able to get them to focus and play with more intensity coming out of the locker room in the second half.
The result is that right now we are on a monster roll, for the second time in Lavin's tenure here. It is starting to look as though this could just be his pattern. Hopefully it will keep going and take us farther than we've been in awhile.