With NIL and the portal leading to unheard of levels of talent consolidation among the top few dozen programs in the country, you can't really compare this year to prior years in terms of what a 4-5 seed talent looks like. If you're just looking at this year, I do agree that we would have as much talent as any other team that would be in the 4-5 mix but we just don't have the premiere non conference wins to get into that conversation
sans a 16-4ish + Saturday night appearance in conference.
The tournament at the top is going to be extremely wide open and I think there will be far fewer big upsets going forward. Behind a paywall but you'd get the gist:
Two months out from Selection Sunday, the numbers are pointing to something we've never seen before
statsbywill.substack.com