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I’m a big McDermott fan and he is doing another nice job at Creighton. Glad to see CU stomped PC last night. Kim English’s comment about SJU only doing a “few things” well after we beat them up there was ill advised. Perhaps he should look at his own squad not doing “a lot of things” very well currently.
I lost all respect for English after that comment. Coaches with “class” commend the other team after a loss. Pitino and most recently Cooley for example. If you’re dumb enough to criticize the team that just beat you, how does that make your team look?
 
Yes I know the games are played on the court. But if this played out that would mean UConn, MQ, and us would combine for 7 losses against the other 8 teams the rest of the way. That would probably lead to at least a 4 bid league.

 
Yes I know the games are played on the court. But if this played out that would mean UConn, MQ, and us would combine for 7 losses against the other 8 teams the rest of the way. That would probably lead to at least a 4 bid league.


I'm a little confused because looking at the individual pages on Torvik it has:
UConn: the bottom line says 14-6 but it only projects three losses to @Marq, @Creighton, @STJ. The 56% chance of win is @Xavier and home vs Marq

Marq: bottom line says 16-4, but only projects losses to @STJ and @UConn. @Creighton is 53% and @Nova is 56%

STJ: bottom line says 14-6 but only projected losses to @UConn, @Nova, @Marq. @Gtown is 57% and vs. Marq is 56%

In other words, I'm not sure these wins are going to get equally distributed. Kind of think the ceiling is five if Creighton/Nova really do damage against UConn and Marq but not us. Four is probably most realistic if Creighton does really well and splits with everybody in the upper echelon
 
Yes I know the games are played on the court. But if this played out that would mean UConn, MQ, and us would combine for 7 losses against the other 8 teams the rest of the way. That would probably lead to at least a 4 bid league.


Bart's site has predictive bracketology so it projects the tournament field based on those final projected records. Currently it has:

Marquette projected 3 seed
UConn 6 seed
SJU 7 seed
Creighton Last 4 Byes
Villanova last team in
 
Bart's site has predictive bracketology so it projects the tournament field based on those final projected records. Currently it has:

Marquette projected 3 seed
UConn 6 seed
SJU 7 seed
Creighton Last 4 Byes
Villanova last team in
14-6 BE record and a 7 seed is such an indictment on this conference. Jesus...
 
Frankly I'd be happy with 5 BE teams in even if we are only a 7 seed though would much prefer a 5 or 6.
All depends on our path to Sweet 16 and the specific match-ups so it is hard to say.

I can be wrong but I think the most upsets happen at the 7/10 and 6/11 games in the first round.
 
5 - 12 game is notorious for upsets.

Last five year stats are interesting:
7 vs. 10 record: 14-10
6 vs 11 record: 10-14
5 vs 12 record: 15-9
4 vs 13 record: 18-6

Will be really tough but I think the team is talented enough to be in the 4/5 conversation. Big difference record-wise being there beneath that.
 

Last five year stats are interesting:
7 vs. 10 record: 14-10
6 vs 11 record: 10-14
5 vs 12 record: 15-9
4 vs 13 record: 18-6

Will be really tough but I think the team is talented enough to be in the 4/5 conversation. Big difference record-wise being there beneath that.
I'm sure that a few of those 11 seeds won their "First Four" games, and had a bit more of an advantage playing the 6, than others normally would.
 

Last five year stats are interesting:
7 vs. 10 record: 14-10
6 vs 11 record: 10-14
5 vs 12 record: 15-9
4 vs 13 record: 18-6

Will be really tough but I think the team is talented enough to be in the 4/5 conversation. Big difference record-wise being there beneath that.
With NIL and the portal leading to unheard of levels of talent consolidation among the top few dozen programs in the country, you can't really compare this year to prior years in terms of what a 4-5 seed talent looks like. If you're just looking at this year, I do agree that we would have as much talent as any other team that would be in the 4-5 mix but we just don't have the premiere non conference wins to get into that conversation sans a 16-4ish + Saturday night appearance in conference.

The tournament at the top is going to be extremely wide open and I think there will be far fewer big upsets going forward. Behind a paywall but you'd get the gist:

 
With NIL and the portal leading to unheard of levels of talent consolidation among the top few dozen programs in the country, you can't really compare this year to prior years in terms of what a 4-5 seed talent looks like. If you're just looking at this year, I do agree that we would have as much talent as any other team that would be in the 4-5 mix but we just don't have the premiere non conference wins to get into that conversation sans a 16-4ish + Saturday night appearance in conference.

The tournament at the top is going to be extremely wide open and I think there will be far fewer big upsets going forward. Behind a paywall but you'd get the gist:

I completely agree with you, which is why I'll never not be annoyed by our OOC scheduling this year. But what I've bolded is something I genuinely think we're capable of. Of course, its a 5-10% best case scenario. It would be crazy to predict it, and I'm not, but I actually think we're that good. I also wonder what a 15-5 record with losses to UConn, 2xMarq, Nova but a BET title would seed us.

I'm not sure I agree about the big upsets part for this year. Just looking at this ESPN bracket, I would honestly probably choose #11 New Mexico or Creighton to upset #6 Arizona. Iowa/Texas is also a tough draw for Memphis. All of the 4/13 and 5/12 are with low conference AQs. It's a huge difference.

Also wouldn't want to play Alabama in a potential Round 2.

But you are right, getting up to that will be a mountain to climb but the team is talented enough to do it.
 
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