2015 Bracketology

This is a crazy game. Game tying three by Minny with 2 seconds left and got fouled on the shot. Missed the free throw and MSU has the ball with 2 seconds left
 
Minnesota is terrible. They are one of the worst- if not THE WORST- team at closing out games. They are actually much better than their RPI (other stats like BPI are better), but end of the day they can't win.

what a chump had a chance for a 4pnt play but misses the FT, it's OT.

meanwhile osu and Temple won
 
Minnesota is terrible. They are one of the worst- if not THE WORST- team at closing out games. They are actually much better than their RPI (other stats like BPI are better), but end of the day they can't win.

what a chump had a chance for a 4pnt play but misses the FT, it's OT.

meanwhile osu and Temple won

Well looks like they may actually win this one. Good win for them, but they've lost an insane amount of close games. Should easily be a tournament team.

LIU game looks like it's also heading to OT. Not as important, but would still help RPI some.
 
That gives Minnesota a good chance to remain a top 100 win. If only cuse or st marys could sneak into the top 50.

Beat gtown and none of this really matters though.
 
That gives Minnesota a good chance to remain a top 100 win. If only cuse or st marys could sneak into the top 50.

Beat gtown and none of this really matters though.

Yep agreed.
 
Minnesota @ #27 Mich St. 7pm BTN Minny

Nebraska @ #42 Ohio St. 7pm espn Neb

Houston @ #33 Temple 7pm cbssn Houston

#48 ODU @ Rice 8pm Rice

#20 SMU @ Memphis 9pm espn2 Memphis

MINNY, OSU, Temple, and ODU won

smu is up 4 late in the 1st half
 
Catching a little bit of the Gonzaga vs San Diego game and they just showed a graphic stating the case for Gonzaga to receive a #1 seed. They listed their "quality wins" and SJU was one of them. Nice to see.....
 
RPIwizard let's you plug in wins or losses to teams future games and predict their RPI.

Syracuses last three games are Duke, Virginia, NC State

If they win 2 of 3 their RPI is predicted at 46. Anything less it's over 50. So I'll be rooting for cuse this weekend, which will be easier for me because they are playing duke
 
RPIwizard let's you plug in wins or losses to teams future games and predict their RPI.

Syracuses last three games are Duke, Virginia, NC State

If they win 2 of 3 their RPI is predicted at 46. Anything less it's over 50. So I'll be rooting for cuse this weekend, which will be easier for me because they are playing duke

At this point, I want Cuse to win out not just for how it helps our RPI but because I want their self-imposed tourny ban to mean something.
 
St. John's [19-9 (8-7), RPI: 31, SOS: 39] On Feb. 3, Butler manhandled St. John's in Hinkle Fieldhouse, dropping the Red Storm to 3-6 in Big East play. The end of the Red Storm's once-promising season -- and possibly Steve Lavin's tenure -- felt all but copy edited. The early hype. The mysterious conference decline. The long, slow, agonizing limp to the finish. Less than a month later, the script has officially been flipped. After Monday's win over Xavier, St. John's has won five of its past six, including two wins over Xavier. With a home game against Georgetown on Saturday, D'Angelo Harrison & Co. have a chance to really firm this thing up -- if not seal it all together -- at the best possible moment. It might not be "Hoosiers," but it's been a great little turnaround.

http://espn.go.com/ncb/bubblewatch
 
St. John's [19-9 (8-7), RPI: 31, SOS: 39] On Feb. 3, Butler manhandled St. John's in Hinkle Fieldhouse, dropping the Red Storm to 3-6 in Big East play. The end of the Red Storm's once-promising season -- and possibly Steve Lavin's tenure -- felt all but copy edited. The early hype. The mysterious conference decline. The long, slow, agonizing limp to the finish. Less than a month later, the script has officially been flipped. After Monday's win over Xavier, St. John's has won five of its past six, including two wins over Xavier. With a home game against Georgetown on Saturday, D'Angelo Harrison & Co. have a chance to really firm this thing up -- if not seal it all together -- at the best possible moment. It might not be "Hoosiers," but it's been a great little turnaround.

http://espn.go.com/ncb/bubblewatch

It has no impact, but it's comical that Xavier's RPI is 30 and ours is 31, we have one more win and two less losses than them, and - most importantly - beat them twice H2H, and ESPN has them in "should be in" and us in "work left to do." Agree that these teams are on very similar footing, but if the tournament started today and there were only 5 BE teams getting in, Xavier getting in over us would be a joke.
 
St. John's [19-9 (8-7), RPI: 31, SOS: 39] On Feb. 3, Butler manhandled St. John's in Hinkle Fieldhouse, dropping the Red Storm to 3-6 in Big East play. The end of the Red Storm's once-promising season -- and possibly Steve Lavin's tenure -- felt all but copy edited. The early hype. The mysterious conference decline. The long, slow, agonizing limp to the finish. Less than a month later, the script has officially been flipped. After Monday's win over Xavier, St. John's has won five of its past six, including two wins over Xavier. With a home game against Georgetown on Saturday, D'Angelo Harrison & Co. have a chance to really firm this thing up -- if not seal it all together -- at the best possible moment. It might not be "Hoosiers," but it's been a great little turnaround.

http://espn.go.com/ncb/bubblewatch

It has no impact, but it's comical that Xavier's RPI is 30 and ours is 31, we have one more win and two less losses than them, and - most importantly - beat them twice H2H, and ESPN has them in "should be in" and us in "work left to do." Agree that these teams are on very similar footing, but if the tournament started today and there were only 5 BE teams getting in, Xavier getting in over us would be a joke.

It is ridiculous: here I'll copy and paste my post from yesterday comparing the two


Let's compare our resume with xaviers for a second here. All stats from espn


Xavier RPI: 31
SJU RPI: 32

Xavier SOS: 24
SJU SOS: 37

Xavier opponent SOS: 13
SJU opponent SOS: 7


Xavier VS top 50: 4-5
SJU VS top 50: 4-6


Xavier Losses against RPI 51+ - 6
SJU losses against RPI 51+ - 3



That losses against 51+ is where we separate ourselves from Xavier IMO. All 3 of our "bad" losses (SHU, DePaul, Creighton) are teams Xavier has also lost to. On top of that Xavier has lost to long beach state (a team we beat by double digits), UTEP, and Auburn.

And on top of that we are 2-0 against Xavier.

So I don't know how exactly Xavier is a 7 seed and us a 10 in Lunardi's brack
 
St. John's [19-9 (8-7), RPI: 31, SOS: 39] On Feb. 3, Butler manhandled St. John's in Hinkle Fieldhouse, dropping the Red Storm to 3-6 in Big East play. The end of the Red Storm's once-promising season -- and possibly Steve Lavin's tenure -- felt all but copy edited. The early hype. The mysterious conference decline. The long, slow, agonizing limp to the finish. Less than a month later, the script has officially been flipped. After Monday's win over Xavier, St. John's has won five of its past six, including two wins over Xavier. With a home game against Georgetown on Saturday, D'Angelo Harrison & Co. have a chance to really firm this thing up -- if not seal it all together -- at the best possible moment. It might not be "Hoosiers," but it's been a great little turnaround.

http://espn.go.com/ncb/bubblewatch

It has no impact, but it's comical that Xavier's RPI is 30 and ours is 31, we have one more win and two less losses than them, and - most importantly - beat them twice H2H, and ESPN has them in "should be in" and us in "work left to do." Agree that these teams are on very similar footing, but if the tournament started today and there were only 5 BE teams getting in, Xavier getting in over us would be a joke.

Agreed, that's the exact point I was making yesterday.
 
St. John's [19-9 (8-7), RPI: 31, SOS: 39] On Feb. 3, Butler manhandled St. John's in Hinkle Fieldhouse, dropping the Red Storm to 3-6 in Big East play. The end of the Red Storm's once-promising season -- and possibly Steve Lavin's tenure -- felt all but copy edited. The early hype. The mysterious conference decline. The long, slow, agonizing limp to the finish. Less than a month later, the script has officially been flipped. After Monday's win over Xavier, St. John's has won five of its past six, including two wins over Xavier. With a home game against Georgetown on Saturday, D'Angelo Harrison & Co. have a chance to really firm this thing up -- if not seal it all together -- at the best possible moment. It might not be "Hoosiers," but it's been a great little turnaround.

http://espn.go.com/ncb/bubblewatch

It has no impact, but it's comical that Xavier's RPI is 30 and ours is 31, we have one more win and two less losses than them, and - most importantly - beat them twice H2H, and ESPN has them in "should be in" and us in "work left to do." Agree that these teams are on very similar footing, but if the tournament started today and there were only 5 BE teams getting in, Xavier getting in over us would be a joke.

It's because ESPN's rpi is significantly better for us since they count a few games as neutral site that the NCAA website counts as home games. I think even Lunardi uses the NCAA website rpi rather than ESPN's. Stupid I know, but only thing that makes sense.
 
Lunardi uses ESPN. I do not know why we played in the pre-season NIT if they were counted as home games. I was at that Gonzaga game and there wasn't much of a home court advantage.
 
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