What made the 50 guys ranked higher than them spurn STJ? So tell me that. Your question is stupid because every kid is different, STJ will get their share, and maybe more than their fair share thanks to Lavin, but it will be a smaller share than elite schools like Duke, UNC, KU, UK, etc....
I'm not so sure that we'll be getting a smaller share than these schools. KU is the only school grabbing an inordinate amount of top players. As you said in a later post, it comes down to the coach in many cases, and we've got a good one. As we start winning with this group and it snowballs into top recruits joining, I'll take my chances with Lav against these other schools. Not to mention, that Duke better get going with their recruiting or we'll be ready to pass them soon. Coach K is a great coach as we know, but they're slipping on their recruiting IMO.
Duke has two top 25's this year, and 3 top 30 the year before. They're dying. Arizona, UCLA, and Baylor are recruiting powerhouses now, Jimm B too, and Billy the Kid gets top kids each year. If Lav gets Lawrence or Martin it will be his first top 25 recruit at STJ. I'm going to pretend you didn't claim Kentucky isn't signing an inordinate amount of top players and Roy's always got a great class. STJ just isn't in that circle yet.
That said you can be a top 10 team with guys ranked 50-100 but they usually need to be soph's or jr's and you need to keep filling it up because the hit rate is lower. That's what Lavin has done and I'm sure this year or next we'll see the fruits of his labor. I think they'll surprise this year due to the amount of minutes the kids played last year but we'll see.
Correction: When you said KU I now realize you meant UK. So substitute my comment about Kentucky with a statement that Kansas, while not as successful as they used to be, is still pretty strong and now that they have Norm back, fuhgeddaboutit. Just kidding.