[quote="fuchsia" post=385319][quote="JohnnyFan" post=385298][quote="pdcjay" post=385265]The idea we can’t open back up before a vaccine is just absolutely garbage. Quarantining wasn’t about preventing people from getting COVID, it was about “flattening the curve” so our hospital system wasn’t overwhelmed. 75% of the population was supposed to get COVID regardless which would provide a good start at herd immunity. That herd immunity and
curative therapies decrease the need for a long quarantine...
as long as we can test for active disease properly. Besides, a vaccine will be out in about 6 months or less for those who don’t have antibodies.
NFL and NCAA football will start on time. MLB will start by July 4th, MLS between mid June and July 4th, NBA May have abbreviated playoffs but will probably just cancel.[/quote]
Part of the problem is we are missing two of the pieces you mention. There is no proven curative therapy for Covid-19. The current treatment consists of fluids, lie on your stomach, take trial drugs designed for other illness, and pray. Regarding testing, it looks like it is going to take a while to get where we need to be. We got off to an awful slow start with testing. We may have come a long way, but it is still far from where it needs to be.[/quote]
Also, we don't know
* post-recovery immunity duration
* true infection rate
* true mortality rate
* are we dealing with a single strain or something that morphs like flu
and much, much, more.
The back to work advocates have my support as soon as they can guarantee that all the extra death is confined to their families.[/quote]
Curative therapies currently being used…
-Hydroxychloroquine/Chloroquine + Azithromycin + Zinc - Already proven safe by the FDA (and decades of use in each case) and more than enough efficacy data to warrant being used larger scale. The level of evidence for off label use is consistent with other drugs and therapies’ off label uses.
Obviously no one will do randomized blind clinical trials during a pandemic so you won’t have full FDA approval so wha
-other antivirals (Kaletra, Remdesivir) - safety seems promising so far in the non FDA approved medications as does efficacy in all of them.
Like I said, testing for active disease and antibodies need to improve but the tests we have now are accurate so it is more a matter of scaling up (especially the serological testing for antibodies) rather than development.
Also, we don't know (or so you claim)
* post-recovery immunity duration - We haven’t seen any reinfection or found the ability to reinfect so until that changes this one is checked off. This is pretty well recognized but I’m sure it will be tested further.
* true infection rate - according to a recently released study from Stanford, it found the likely prevalence of antibodies in a defined area (Santa Clara Co) to be 50-80 fold the official numbers.
[URL]https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.14.20062463v1[/URL]
* true mortality rate - see above but a 50 fold decrease in mortality rate (claimed 2%) means a 0.04% mortality in the population. This information still doesn’t include widespread use of prescription drug therapies.
* are we dealing with a single strain or something that morphs like flu - multiple strains (8 I believe have been found already) and no indication any have morphed to be more virulent or deadly. Quite the opposite actually, they seem to have morphed to be less deadly if anything.
As for your last statement, does that mean that we can also send you the bill for our economy? And the small businesses that close?
Looking at this from a single perspective is the luxury someone like Fauci has but not a luxury politicians and most businesses have.