I found this staggering, so wanted to share.
South Carolina is an example of a bubble team with a 21% chance of making the tournament. But look at their upcoming schedule:
bracketologists.com
After their two buy-games, they literally have all but two conference games being Q1 opportunities. The other two are Q2.
That's why I think the SEC/B10/B12 will ultimately get an unprecedented amount of bubble teams. It's just impossible to compete when the numbers start to mush together like that.
Long-term, it may incentivize programs to schedule much tougher OOCs teams -- which may be more healthy for the sport as a whole.