Unless an NIL cap is implemented, the pool of programs capable of winning a national championship will continue to shrink.
Except for a very small number of college athletes, NIL recipients bring negative ROI to businesses that engage them. Unlike a pro sports team owners, NIL donors do not have a profit incentive, only the satisfaction of helping their favorite college team be competitive.
The numbers of so staggering it's hard for our fans to really consider what it takes to be competitive NIL. Rick came up with am idea of a 100 man team of donors each contributing $10,000. I'm pretty sure we don't have 100 individuals willing to donate that much on top of donations to the university. Even then, that's only $1 million, and very quickly top programs are ratcheting up budgets past $3 million to $5 million. How long before that becomes $7-10 million?
Like small market pro sports teams, it is difficult to sustain success. In college, commitments are only 1 year, which makes it far more difficult than mlb which has a wait period to enter free agency, and multi year contracts to keep budgets manageable. Here, a.mid major stat emerges and he has to leave for major NIL income.
The NCAA must get ahead of this by implementing meaningful change, but i seriously doubt they will.