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Although this generally makes sense, you will need a third bucket for a team like Seton Hall since a loss to them wouldn't be a magnitude more devastating than a loss to Nova. I fully expect their NET to not go much higher than where it is right now. DePaul/Butler/Providence (IF Hopkins is healthy) can all end up in a better place a few months from now, but also very much not.

I don’t think Seton Hall is THAT bad. I know the metrics are absolutely crazy early but there is no way they are as bad as the metrics say and can really move up with some wins in December.
 
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