I'd be very careful about under estimating Xavier. They are very very good at home. This is the 14th season at the Cintas Center and their record in the building is 181-25 for an 88% winning percentage. The place holds over 10,000 fans and the game will be sold out. (there are less than 50 tickets left as of today) Even in a down year last year at 17-14, 9-7 A10 they beat Butler, Temple, LaSalle, Memphis and St.Louis.
They are a top 15
program nationally the last 15 years. Before last year, they won an incredible 5 straight A-10 regular season championships. The A-10 is no slouch...most years it is as good or better than the Pac12 or SEC, and the top half of that league can play with anyone. They have made 13 NCAA tournament appearances in the last 16 years. They have advanced in the tournament five times since 2007, four trips to the Sweet 16, and one of those trips ending in the Elite 8. The had another Elite 8 trip in 2004. They also sellout most home games.
All three new schools are very solid programs whether or not they are fielding their best teams in recent years. Solid programs are never easy to beat.