Since when is it a no-brainer? They are neck and neck in the eyes of the Selection Committee with Nova having the head-to-head advantage.
Nova-
RPI 55
SOS 33
SJU
RPI 59
SOS 31
Remaining Nova schedule (opponent's RPI/SOS):
Marquette (14/17)
@Seton Hall (122/62)
@Pitt (40/45)
GTown (16/43)
Remaining SJU schedule (opponent's RPI/SOS):
Pitt (40/45)
@Prov (85/38)
@ND (44/79)
Marquette (14/17)
Out of all of those teams, only Marquette (an NCAA tourney lock) has played a tougher schedule than SJU. Not even Georgetown.
Nova has lost to Providence twice this season. Nova's remaining average opponents' RPI is 48. SJU's is 45. Nova's game @Seton Hall is the worst of the bunch win or lose.
At this point, assuming they perform equally equal the balance of the season, Nova has only 1 loss outside the top 100 and 2 wins against the top 10 RPI, St Johns has 3 losses outside the top 100 and 0 top 25 wins (forget top 10). St Johns best win in the RPI vs UConn is at home matched by Nova beating them on the road. No brainer RIGHT NOW if it were a choice of one or the other. Both team IMHO still need to play themselves into the tournament and hopefully one won't get in at the expense of the other. The more Big Smoke teams the better.
That's not how it works. You don't beat a team when they are ranked and then not get credit for it because they lost a few late. On our resume it will still say #14 Cincy and #20 Notre Dame. Those teams totally deserved their rankings at the time. Don't cut us short, we have 2 top 25 wins and beat UConn who I told you guys would be much better than anticipated and they are. UConn can end up a 20 win team this year.
Actually, with regard to the RPI, that's exactly how it works. Quality wins are based on the teams RPI not at the time of the win but in that team's overall body of work. In your mind Miami sucked in November. Not so in the minds of those who designed the RPI and really not so in the minds of those who make the brackets. The RPI is important and STJ no longer has high quality RPI wins. They have some good wins but also some horrid losses. Both teams are on the bubble and in the greater scheme of things they are very close but I haven't seen a bracket in a week that has STJ ranked over Nova. Given that their SOS and RPI are nearly identical the good wins/bad losses put Nova clearly ahead.
Miami was missing 1 of their starters when they lost to Indiana State, Cuse was missing Southerland when Nova beat them and the game was away where Cuse is a totally different team. There was some stat I saw that showed Cuse basically almost never has to play away games. That's a HUGE advantage when you have 30,000 fans on your side each game. The second they leave their comfy confines, they get shook at times. They are much more beatable away from home as with most teams. Their L'Ville win was also at home. Still great wins obviously but let's not forget L'Ville fell back to like #12 down from like #5 shortly after. Teams like Miami are totally different now than they were early on. If Miami played ISU now they would win by 20+. Saying otherwise ignores the chemistry teams build and their experience. In the same way I think Miami would kill ISU now, I also think we would beat Asheville by 20 if we played them full strength at home tomorrow. I'm not talking RPI I'm talking quality wins listed and you can't take #14 and #20 away from us. We earned it and the #14 upset was away from home unlike Nova.