What Went Right, What Went Wrong: A Season In Review

Nothing went wrong. This team was a very flawed team right from the get go. The OOC games gave some fans the illusion that we were much better than we were. From the beginning there were major concerns about size and depth. Our team chemistry was rarely very good, in part because we lacked a leader on the court. We were forced to live and die with our outside shooting because we had no interior game, except for the occasional drives. The coaching left a lot to be desired. The team we saw last night was, for the most part, the same team we seen for most of the season. As the season went on, I said that I expected we’d sneak in to the tournament but the season would end on a very disappointing (but not surprising) note, much like Lavin’s last team. That’s exactly what happened.
 
[quote="Monte" post=333235]Nothing went wrong. This team was a very flawed team right from the get go. The OOC games gave some fans the illusion that we were much better than we were. From the beginning there were major concerns about size and depth. Our team chemistry was rarely very good, in part because we lacked a leader on the court. We were forced to live and die with our outside shooting because we had no interior game, except for the occasional drives. The coaching left a lot to be desired. The team we saw last night was, for the most part, the same team we seen for most of the season. As the season went on, I said that I expected we’d sneak in to the tournament but the season would end on a very disappointing (but not surprising) note, much like Lavin’s last team. That’s exactly what happened.[/quote]

Basically correct. This wasn't a very good team anyway,

The question is should we expect more in year 4 and beyond.

After 4 years of this hire should we reasonably expect more and more importantly is the program headed in the right direction both on and off the floor.
 
[quote="Monte" post=333235]Nothing went wrong. This team was a very flawed team right from the get go. The OOC games gave some fans the illusion that we were much better than we were. From the beginning there were major concerns about size and depth. Our team chemistry was rarely very good, in part because we lacked a leader on the court. We were forced to live and die with our outside shooting because we had no interior game, except for the occasional drives. The coaching left a lot to be desired. The team we saw last night was, for the most part, the same team we seen for most of the season. As the season went on, I said that I expected we’d sneak in to the tournament but the season would end on a very disappointing (but not surprising) note, much like Lavin’s last team. That’s exactly what happened.[/quote]
Totally agree, well said Monte.
 
We need to have a viable and reliable bench. Starters played too many minutes and were beat up and exhausted at the end of the season.
 
[quote="Monte" post=333235]Nothing went wrong. This team was a very flawed team right from the get go. The OOC games gave some fans the illusion that we were much better than we were. From the beginning there were major concerns about size and depth. Our team chemistry was rarely very good, in part because we lacked a leader on the court. We were forced to live and die with our outside shooting because we had no interior game, except for the occasional drives. The coaching left a lot to be desired. The team we saw last night was, for the most part, the same team we seen for most of the season. As the season went on, I said that I expected we’d sneak in to the tournament but the season would end on a very disappointing (but not surprising) note, much like Lavin’s last team. That’s exactly what happened.[/quote]

Good analysis, Monte. The makeup of the team was clearly flawed. We couldn't match up with teams that had decent big guys. Our defense, which relied on constant switching, usually led to size mismatches and resulted in easy baskets for our opponent and/or an inordinate amount of fouling on our part. We were good offensively when we were able to run but usually stagnated when we were forced to try to run a half court set.

The coaching staff was flawed as well. As we have discussed ad nauseum, having one guy do virtually all of the heavy lifting in recruiting is a major mistake. And now, it looks like he may be leaving us. I still don't know what Mitch Richmond does (or is supposed to do) and I'm not convinced that St Jean is a great x and o guy.

We need to make serious changes in our staff and recruiting philosophy if we are going to continue to move the program in a positive direction. Cragg has to be given the latitude (and have the cojones) to make the tough decisions that need to be made in the upcoming weeks. I hope to see positive changes before next season.

Despite it all, we should have won last night. ASU won the game but they were not very good, either. Unfortunately, several of our key players had a rough night. Bravo to the kids for never giving up and playing hard to the bitter end. You should your heads up high. You came to St John's when our program was in the dumps and got us this far. Thanks a lot!!! Here's hoping that we get to the Dance again real soon.
 
I am not sure any positive improvement will occur until either Mullin changes his system, or Mullin leaves.

IMO you can’t win in men’s college basketball playing a wide open NBA shoot it up offense that discounts offensive rebounding and with a free switching man to man defense. The college talent does not allow the same percentage of shots going in. The NBA switching man to man creates too frequent mismatches with a 6 foot guard guarding the other teams 4 or 5 .

In addition Mullins stockpiling 3 scholarship redshirts shortchanges the available available substitutes which is further compounded with injuries or disappointed performances.

Given the fact that I doubt Mullin changes his system, and that StJohn’s lacks the $ to buy him out of the remaining $4+M on his contract, and simultaneously pay $2.5+/- M per year to the replacement coach I expect the same system and results through next season.

Hey, we are StJohn#’s fans so we expect to be disappointed.
 
[quote="fordham96" post=333237][quote="Monte" post=333235]Nothing went wrong. This team was a very flawed team right from the get go. The OOC games gave some fans the illusion that we were much better than we were. From the beginning there were major concerns about size and depth. Our team chemistry was rarely very good, in part because we lacked a leader on the court. We were forced to live and die with our outside shooting because we had no interior game, except for the occasional drives. The coaching left a lot to be desired. The team we saw last night was, for the most part, the same team we seen for most of the season. As the season went on, I said that I expected we’d sneak in to the tournament but the season would end on a very disappointing (but not surprising) note, much like Lavin’s last team. That’s exactly what happened.[/quote]

Basically correct. This wasn't a very good team anyway,

The question is should we expect more in year 4 and beyond.

After 4 years of this hire should we reasonably expect more and more importantly is the program headed in the right direction both on and off the floor.[/quote]

Good questions. Unfortunately I don’t have any answers. I still hope like hell this Chris can work out here, but a lot of that is based on emotion rather than what I’ve seen so far. People point to improvement every year. That’s all good and well, but there’s the “smell test”(I think you used that term before), and I don’t see how he’s passed that test after 4 years at the helm. Think he deserves another year, with some changes to the staff, and then I’ll re-visit.
 
These stats say it all. Tough to overcome being the worst rebounding team, and by quite a bit. Sometimes, making the dance seems like over-achieving all things considered. Not listed is the atrocious -8.5 rebounding deficit.

OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS
## Team G No. Avg/G
---------------------------------------
1.Providence.......... 18 224 12.44
2.Seton Hall.......... 18 204 11.33
3.Georgetown.......... 18 197 10.94
4.DePaul.............. 18 193 10.72
5.Xavier.............. 18 185 10.28
6.Villanova........... 18 179 9.94
7.Butler.............. 18 166 9.22
8.Marquette........... 18 152 8.44
9.Creighton........... 18 143 7.94
10.St. John's.......... 18 133 7.39


DEFENSIVE REBOUNDS
## Team G No. Avg/G
---------------------------------------
1.Georgetown.......... 18 503 27.94
2.Marquette........... 18 479 26.61
3.Creighton........... 18 462 25.67
4.Xavier.............. 18 456 25.33
5.Seton Hall.......... 18 452 25.11
6.DePaul.............. 18 446 24.78
7.Villanova........... 18 444 24.67
8.St. John's.......... 18 431 23.94
9.Butler.............. 18 428 23.78
Providence.......... 18 428 23.78

DEFENSIVE REB PCT.
## Team G D-Reb O-Reb D-Reb%
----------------------------------------------
1.DePaul.............. 18 446 154 0.743
2.Xavier.............. 18 456 167 0.732
3.Butler.............. 18 428 157 0.732
4.Creighton........... 18 462 171 0.730
5.Georgetown.......... 18 503 195 0.721
6.Marquette........... 18 479 186 0.720
7.Villanova........... 18 444 176 0.716
8.Providence.......... 18 428 172 0.713
9.Seton Hall.......... 18 452 190 0.704
10.St. John's.......... 18 431 208 0.674


OFFENSIVE REB PCT.
## Team G O-Reb D-Reb O-Reb%
----------------------------------------------
1.DePaul.............. 18 193 412 0.319
2.Xavier.............. 18 185 396 0.318
3.Providence.......... 18 224 480 0.318
4.Seton Hall.......... 18 204 454 0.310
5.Georgetown.......... 18 197 477 0.292
6.Villanova........... 18 179 436 0.291
7.Marquette........... 18 152 421 0.265
8.Butler.............. 18 166 478 0.258
9.Creighton........... 18 143 466 0.235
10.St. John's.......... 18 133 509 0.207
 
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[quote="otis" post=333245]I am not sure any positive improvement will occur until either Mullin changes his system, or Mullin leaves.

IMO you can’t win in men’s college basketball playing a wide open NBA shoot it up offense that discounts offensive rebounding and with a free switching man to man defense. The college talent does not allow the same percentage of shots going in. The NBA switching man to man creates too frequent mismatches with a 6 foot guard guarding the other teams 4 or 5 .

In addition Mullins stockpiling 3 scholarship redshirts shortchanges the available available substitutes which is further compounded with injuries or disappointed performances.

Given the fact that I doubt Mullin changes his system, and that StJohn’s lacks the $ to buy him out of the remaining $4+M on his contract, and simultaneously pay $2.5+/- M per year to the replacement coach I expect the same system and results through next season.

Hey, we are StJohn#’s fans so we expect to be disappointed.[/quote]

Spot on, Otis. This season proved that NBA systems don't work at the college level. I have been a St John's fan for more than 50 years. i also root for the Mets, Jets, Knicks and Rangers.

Disappointment should be my middle name.
 
[quote="Monte" post=333246][quote="fordham96" post=333237][quote="Monte" post=333235]Nothing went wrong. This team was a very flawed team right from the get go. The OOC games gave some fans the illusion that we were much better than we were. From the beginning there were major concerns about size and depth. Our team chemistry was rarely very good, in part because we lacked a leader on the court. We were forced to live and die with our outside shooting because we had no interior game, except for the occasional drives. The coaching left a lot to be desired. The team we saw last night was, for the most part, the same team we seen for most of the season. As the season went on, I said that I expected we’d sneak in to the tournament but the season would end on a very disappointing (but not surprising) note, much like Lavin’s last team. That’s exactly what happened.[/quote]

Basically correct. This wasn't a very good team anyway,

The question is should we expect more in year 4 and beyond.

After 4 years of this hire should we reasonably expect more and more importantly is the program headed in the right direction both on and off the floor.[/quote]

Good questions. Unfortunately I don’t have any answers. I still hope like hell this Chris can work out here, but a lot of that is based on emotion rather than what I’ve seen so far. People point to improvement every year. That’s all good and well, but there’s the “smell test”(I think you used that term before), and I don’t see how he’s passed that test after 4 years at the helm. Think he deserves another year, with some changes to the staff, and then I’ll re-visit.[/quote]

The "improvement" argument is the biggest crock. First off the 12-0 start was a borderline joke. Secondly I don't give credit to "improving" on your own bad record. Seriously, you want to give credit while at the same time acknowledge he was also terrible.

Lastly there is a 'improvment" and then there is a IMPROVEMENT. Going from 1 league win, to 7 to 4 to 8 can be constituted as "improvement." But only if your standard is so low that you think that is sufficient, The standard for improvement would be to compare the previous staff where they left off and then compare where you are 4 years later. No question the cupboard was bare but no one is saying he had to win 20 games his first year. But Lavin left after back to back 10-8 seasons And keep in mind he lost 10 seniors and a key transfer, Polee, after his 1st year. So he had to rehaul the entire roster on the run. I am not saying he did a great job, not at all. That's my point. But even if you take out his first year because you don[t want to give him credit, the four following years after he re-hauled the entire roster and had 2 kids leave early for NBA, he went to 2 NIT's and 1 NCAA and had 2 winning league seasons.

I am not going to rehash Mullin's 4 year record but it is bad, real bad. And I fear that it is going to be worse not better next year.

The standard then is to look at the 4 years relative to what SJU fired and do you say, "Hell yeah the program is on far better footing and we are poised to be a regular BE and NCAA contender.." or "Jesus, this is what we waited four years for. This is not only not better than what we fired 4 years ago, it is WORSE."

Take your pick in terms of where you stand. But that is the standard. The standard isn't well he "improved" because they went 8-10 from 4-14...Sorry that is nonsense. If he went 13-5 from 4-14 then I would say, absolutely.
 
It has just been more of the same over the last 20 years. Hire a coach followed by a rebuild with one + 500 season thrown in. Fire a coach rinse and repeat. Unbelievably we have not won a single tourney game over that period. I think we may have an AD that realizes this. We need a complete shakeup and investment in our program.

As others have pointed out, this may have to wait a year or so while the existing contracts expire. Based on the results over the years, this may not be a desirable coaching gig but it’s up to our AD to sell it to a coach with a proven track record or a solid up and comer. I was okay with CM but he never was able to build a solid and sustainable roster. Too many players transferring out and transfers sitting out a year. Time to sit down with Chris and work out a long term plan and staff or move on. Hoping things work out and we finally turn the corner. This mired in mediocrity is getting old.
 
Otis has hit the nail on the head re Mullin. He is very adverse to change , the change in staff will be two years too late , and the next month or so will be a battle between Mullin and Cragg over who is in control.
This is the perfect time for Cragg to take over because there is a total lack of respect for Mullin's coaching or his ability to improve his players abilities or even play hard among the college fraternity. He never wanted to coach or recruit and it shows. The order to change staff might be his out. If he does return with a new staff the roster will probably undergo a drastic change.
Watching Glen Williams last night sitting out complete games behind Trimble who I suspect shot about ten per cent from three since the start of the big east season, made me think Williams should get out of SJU with Wright and Caranher coming in and maybe the SJU staff only wants transfers.
 
[quote="Monte" post=333235]Nothing went wrong.[/quote]

Something always goes wrong. Some may go back to spring/summer when Mullin failed to be in NYC to greet Femi at the airport. We go 3 and 0 or 2 and 1 at worst against Depaul if Femi plays for us instead of them, and probably win a few more conference games. Something changed starting with the Depaul loss at home. The team that seemed to be figuring things out at the end of the OOC schedule stopped playing together. The same players that manhandled Marquette wire to wire, and were double digits ahead of Hall and Nova for 30-35 minutes, lost focus and stopped trusting each other around the time of the Depaul loss By season's end, they were playing their worst basketball. Something had to go wrong for that to happen.

If you want, you can go back over 4 years, when an inexperienced university president showed a complete disdain for what it takes to build a college basketball program and disdain for the skill-sets and dedication college coaching requires by hiring a coach with no coaching experience, and allowed him to surround himself with familiar and comfortable faces instead of assistants with a track record of winning. It seems that if one wanted to restore a failing business to profitability, they would hire an executive that has turned companies around before. Not taking a position on who should go and stay, but at best it was a risky move with a limited chance of working out.
 
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Richmond and St. Jean aren't going anywhere. Can't see Mullin firing his best bud and his protege. It would be like saying, "They're the reason why this team failed to live up to expectations, and not me." If they don't return, it'll be because they choose to ... and what are the chances of that happening?
 
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[quote="redken" post=333281]Richmond and St. Jean aren't going anywhere. Can't see Mullin firing his best bud and his protege. It would be like saying, "They're the reason why this team failed to live up to expectations, and not me." If they don't return, it'll be because they choose to ... and what are the chances of that happening?[/quote]

Either one can stay on in an alternate role to allow a second AC to go on recruiting trail.
 
[quote="redken" post=333281]Richmond and St. Jean aren't going anywhere. Can't see Mullin firing his best bud and his protege. It would be like saying, "They're the reason why this team failed to live up to expectations, and not me." If they don't return, it'll be because they choose to ... and what are the chances of that happening?[/quote]

Decisions should be made based on an evaluation of the performance of the staff to date, and the probability of success going forward. The name on any of the staff's driver's licenses should not matter.
 
The sad part is, regardless of whether Matt stays or not, it's a rebuilding year. If Matt leaves, it's going to be worse as they'll have to hire a new recruiter who has to establish a rapport with the players we are recruiting.

No other way to slice it...............no pun intended.
 
[quote="Ray Morgan" post=333297][quote="redken" post=333281]Richmond and St. Jean aren't going anywhere. Can't see Mullin firing his best bud and his protege. It would be like saying, "They're the reason why this team failed to live up to expectations, and not me." If they don't return, it'll be because they choose to ... and what are the chances of that happening?[/quote]

Decisions should be made based on an evaluation of the performance of the staff to date, and the probability of success going forward. The name on any of the staff's driver's licenses should not matter.[/quote]
In an ideal world yes, but ...
 
Starters played too many minutes.
"Fatigue makes cowards of us all.” - Gen. George S. Patton, Jr.
 
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