I know it sounds all wise to be pessimistic but we've got the pieces to be a Tournament team. Last year the lack of speed and ball handling in the guard spots killed us and we still managed to stay competitive against superior teams in most of our losses including a few that we came close to stealing. We'll fill that need nicely. Lovett is small but wicked fast and an uncanny ball handler and has a year of BE practice if not PT. Sima and Yakwe got a lot of PT as Frosh. Both showed good smarts and Yakwe has literally one of the best motors in the country (Hard to dispute that) and a natural talent for being where the ball is. Some added muscle and hustle in the front court in addition to WAY less pressure on Mussini and I think we'll see him hitting some big shots. Not sure how much to expect from RF this season but he's definitely got some great potential with his size and shot. The coaching staff went through a baptism of fire and will be much more comfortable this season. I'm expecting a fun season. Tournament is probably not a reasonable expectation in all fairness but I don't think it is out of the question either. We have a Big East quality roster that is better balanced with some depth and some stars in the making with the opportunity there for them to rise to.
It's a middle of the pack roster, which is a big step up. Not sure it's necessarily pessimistic to say that I don't expect them to be better than say Marquette or Creighton was this year. Marquette had 20 wins and didn't make the NIT. I don't see next year's squad getting 20 wins. 18-12 going into the BET would be a pleasant surprise, which would likely be 19-13 coming out and that is NIT bubble, ergo my guess at 50%.