Cuse alumni here, but fan of the Johnnies as well. Lavin was a great hire. Great recruiter and he gets his teams to really play.
Disagree with your assessment of Cuse this year Marillac. Triche is a good player (certainly not great), but I think we will go as MCW our Soph pt guard takes us. MCW didn't get a ton of minutes, but when he played he was very good and he showed much more emotion and leadership ability than Triche ever has. 6'5" point guards are not a dime a dozen. MCW might not be the quickest pt guard, but he is apt to getting in the lane and creating for others and possesses a pretty smooth floater and solid jumper. He also really buys into the defense of end of the game.
We will not be deep at the guard position by any means this year, but we will have 3 legit 3 point shooters: Cooney rs frosh (knock down 3 pt shooter in hs and top 50 recruit), MCW, and Triche. Our definite weakness will be backcourt depth.
Our team will really hinge on the development of Rakim Christmas and our frosh center Dejuan Coleman. Coleman is a space eater and definite boarder, but he needs to lose 20lbs or so to be able to get up and down the court. Whether he does or not is to be seen. He has the skills though. Christmas has the athleticism (not as much skill), but it hasn't clicked and his motor needs to be proven. He did show great signs of life towards the end of the year however.
We are pretty set at the wings with Southerland, Fair, and frosh J Grant. I'm expecting Fair to really step up this year. He was very good last year, but he was the 4th option on offense. I expect he will make all BE in some capacity. Praying that Southerland adds a little dribbling to his streaky shooting.
In any case, unless we suffer significant injuries/ suspensions, I see us being no worse than a top 20 team with upside into the top 10. As much as I like St Johns, I don't see them being a top 20 squad. With Harkless maybe, but without him I don't see it. Not enough depth to make it through the BE.
As for the Cuse future, watch out. We haven't recruited at this high of a level since the late 80's. We missed out on Noel this year, but we still brought in DaJuan Coleman and Jeremi Grant. Coleman was a McD AA and Grant was in the Jordan Brand game (lineage of Harvey Grant and Horace Grant(uncle). We also brought in Duke transfer Michael Gbinije (top 30 recruit with serious size at the 2 spot).
We are also hot on the heels of a number of top recruits in 2013 onward: Tyler Ennis, Noah Vonleh, Dakari Johnson etc...
We will be able to compete in the ACC without any problems. We play an uptempo style and so does most of the ACC. Our top recruiter was named the HC in waiting a number of years ago, so Cuse is well positioned for down the road. If 2012 didn't kill us, nothing will (I hope).
Welcome aboard, Mike. I agree with a lot of what you wrote. I was a Big East fan before I was a St. John's fan, and one of my favorite teams was the Syracuse squad that made the championship game in (I think) 1996. By mentioning Triche as the only clear advantage SU holds over us, I didn't intend that to mean that he was your best player--it was more of a positional analysis. I expect MCW to make a huge jump and be a great player, but STJ's best player, D'Angelo Harrison, plays the same position. As good as MCW is, I think Harrison's experience gives us a slight advantage at that position. Harrison is just unreal, he was recently ranked as the #3 rising soph in the country, and he's only going to get better.
I have to be honest, though, I think Christmas has always been extremely overrated. At 6'9, he was only the third leading rebounder on his high school team. With that said, his athletic ability and length are perfect for the zone. Coleman on the other hand is not a typical Syracuse player by any means. He seems like he is made for a slow down, grind-it-out style of play. There is no way he'll b able to play anything but center in the 2-3 IMO. I can't imagine him ever closing out on a shooter in the corner!
I agree with you that Fair will be very good. Fair and Southerland will be a nice pair of athletic forwards for you guys. Nobody really projects us to do that well now after losing Moe--and probably rightfully so--but I do feel like we will be a tournament team for sure.