I hope I am wrong, but this is appears to be written by a guy who didn't actually watch a lot of St. John's games last season and instead is reading stats and going by an experienced roster.
Anyone who watched this team intently last year, saw that our defense did not make big stops, and often appeared porous. With 3 guards on the court at most times, you should have a decent steal and turnover percentage, but he is also omitting that considering a three guard offense our overall shooting percentage was not very good.
With a three guard offense our perimeter defense should be sterling, and not just pumped up with steals or turnovers which are frequently caused by guys being out of position, resulting in easy shots for opponents.
I suspect the shooting % of our opponents is often them playing down to our level.. In basketball there is an ebb and flow, and more often than not last year we couldn't hit wide open shots with any consistency, and our opponents ended up doing to same - ugly basketball.
If this team shows the capacity to close out close games, and Harrison plays in those moments like the Big East POY he could contend for, if Jordan starts to look like a first round NBA pick, and if Obekpa shows improvement that goes beyond raw potential and is transformed into pro type numbers, then we can finish on top or close to it. If not, there will likely be more of the same as last season, and we will be discussing a new coach.
Why is it when something positive is written about our team some posters have to attack the writer. Seth Greenberg was a successful coach and is a good analyst. What he says is very true. If this team can come together and play unselfishly, we may be able to duplicate the success of the Hardy, DJ, Paris, and Burrell team. Hopefully, they learned from the adversity of last year.
I'm not attacking the writer, but I AM questioning just how many games of ours that he saw. We played 18 Big East games. Even if he is a good analyst, with a squad like ours that wasn't a top 25 team or a tourney team, how many games did he see us (or any team of our calber) play? All I know is that we lost two guys who shot 50% from the field (Sanchez and Sampson) both of whom were assigned to the preseason 20 man NBA rosters, and that our three starting guards shot 39, 41, and 41% from the floor. Will any of our three guards show marked offensive improvement? The best bet in that category seems to be Jordan, as neither Harrison nor Greene seem considerably more complete as players than as freshman. In our entire modern history, every good team had someone who could be counted on to do consistently do good things in crunch time. Artest, Sealy, Lopez, Mullin, Berry, George Johnson, Marcus Hatten, Glen WIlliams, etc. This roster hasn't had anyone who has proven they can do that with any consistency. Last season Sampson led the team in rebounding and he didn't exactly clean the boards. Will Thomas, Obekpa, or someone else make up the deficit and more?
I'm a Mets fan, and I know that when you start the season at 0-0, that's about as good as it gets, and that hope springs eternal. But just because our players are a year older also brings to mind Casey Stengel's assessment of Greg Goosen: "This here young player is 20 years old, and in ten years he could be 30."
If our guards can put the ball in the hold in crunch time, we may get to the dance. If not, it will be another long season.