I began my thought process thinking that this game was a very important game to win. As the week has dragged on, I am less inclined to say that. Winning at home in college basketball is a lot like holding serve in tennis. In years past, having only one crack at a Georgetown would make that one shot important if you were the favored team away. Not sure exactly what a home court advantage means in terms of points, but I'd say that if tomorrow's game were at MSG, it would be a must win. For the very reason of home and home schedules throughout the league, we will probably be surprised at how many losses the top teams end up having. One team will likely break from the pack, but the second place team could end up with 6 losses. 7 losses in second would likely result in a two or three way tie. I fully expect this to happen, especially in St. John's case, because we have a chance to run the table at home (or at least win 7 games), whereas I wouldn't be shocked to lose 6 on the road.
Formula for NIT participation. Sooner than later you have to impress by stealing some credible road wins.
IMO this team will need to finish in top 5 of BE, win in quarter and semi and win the BE Tourney to get to NCAA. As of now they are an NIT team.
Top 5 won't cut it.
They need to finish Top 3 or win the BE tourney.
Actually top 6 will cut it. In the 10 team BE the bottom 4 play to get to the quarters. SJ just needs to win 2 games to get to the Final. I said they also need to win the championship to get in but if, by luck, they have 24 wins AND lose in the BE final, I think they will be last 4 in and a 10-12 seed.
We will know tomorrow if this team (a) is prepared with a game plan to stop the Hoya guards, (b) run past Smith, the slowest center in the NCAA and (c) put together a lineup that will position us for a win. (C) is highly doubtful given Lavin's propensity for not knowing his team's strengths and weaknesses and head scratching substitution patterns.
One thing is for sure and that is if Sanchez, Gift, CO play away from Smith, he will have a field day under the basket.
I am convinced Lav and his assistants have no clue when it comes to big men.