(EXHIB) @Rutgers, Sun. Nov. 5, 1p, BTN Plus

In recent seasons, I go into the year with a less than optimistic view. Yes, having a true point guard in SImons, one that is 6-5 at that, is an improvement over the departed Mussini. However, the loss of a serviceable Mussini dampens that improvement slightly because our depth wasn't improved.

Just on stats alone, I was concerned that Clark likes to shoot three's and as a result you can't be too places at once - 20 feet from the basked and battling for boards. Can't for an opinion after just 2 exhibition games, but we are razor thin on the front line, and if Clark doesn't rebound hard and defend in the paint, we are in deep trouble.

It's a long season, and 2 of the top 6 rotation players are brand new. It's quite possible that the success of this season will hinge on players doing what the team needs to win rather than what they like to do as individuals. Yes, everyone likes to score - it's the nature of basketball. As an undersized squad, on most nights they will get outrebounded. How much they can keep rebound margins reasonable depend on positioning and desire. No matter what anyone says, being defense minded can detract from offense, since good defense is so much hard work.

IMO, this team, with their lack of depth and size on the front line, is going to have to play tough defense and hit the boards hard in order to win. A reasonable goal would be to go 10-8 in conference as a high goal. That would secure an NCAA bid. 9-9 would put them at around 6th in conference, and put them on the bubble. Anything less and they would need a winning OOC record just to get an NIT bid and offset a losing conference record.

Very unfair to make predictions after 2 exhibitions, but with some obvious flaws exposed yesterday, if they go uncorrected, 8-10, (a one game improvement in the BE) is perhaps the most anyone could reasonably hope for. Of course, then year 3 of the Mullin era would put us on the outside looking in.

Starting Friday, we must win every OOC game that should be won, since a 9-9 conference record will be viewed unfavorably unless we approach 20 wins overall.
 
Obviously one scrimmage means nada.

Plus side - clearly the three guards are very, very good & will cause a lot of problems for most opponents.

Potential negative - the undersized front court guys have to overachieve on both ends of court & in particular avoid domination by bigs with size. Having to help on the post too often usually results in kick outs & open threes.

Without the latter, this team will have its ups and downs. To me, it is critical to fare well in early out of conference games v some solid teams. To stumble there would warrant doing very well in BE schedule, a daunting task. Build momentum early & go into conference play feeling good seems a path to post season opportunities.

 
Just a few observations;
1- Not sure why anyone would be surprised but the hole in the middle will be a problem all year. I and many others beat this to death during the offseason and staff could not/or did not address. It is what it is.
2- Keep in mind it was a "scrimmage" don't go overboard. However, I agree Clark can't be shooting 1-10 from 3. But, he cannot be the only "rebounder" or "defender". This can only be addressed by a "TEAM" approach to both. Ponds, Lovett and others need to help. Our guard defense was sub-par last season and they all need to improve for the team to step forward.
3- Amar seems like a good kid. However, he should not be counted on in a significant way. Counting on him to be something he is not is not fair.
 

Hey its not like we lost by 20 . We lost in the last few secomds because someone did not box out his man
 
FIVE TO LIKE (this is tough)

Lost by only two on road albeit to a team that's predicted to be the worst in their conference.
Ponds..25-7-6. He's the man!
Trimble is lights out on threes. Sure, it's two games, but everyone's complaining about Clark.
Outrebounded Rutgers
No one hurt...not even Yakwe.

FIVE TO GROAN ABOUT

OLE "D". High pitched sound of "ole" heard in second half every time Rutgers went for basket.
Free throws terrible. Missed ten...lost by two. Contrasted by lights out shooting against AIC.
Three point shooting terrible. Mr Clark, I'd suggest you set up shop under the basket.
I don't understand how Bashir got invited to the NBA combine. Look for a handful of good games this year from him. No more.
Front court weak, very weak, creampuff weak, Charmin soft. 80 year old private part soft. I'll leave it at that.
 
FIVE TO LIKE (this is tough)

Lost by only two on road albeit to a team that's predicted to be the worst in their conference.
Ponds..25-7-6. He's the man!
Trimble is lights out on threes. Sure, it's two games, but everyone's complaining about Clark.
Outrebounded Rutgers
No one hurt...not even Yakwe.

FIVE TO GROAN ABOUT

OLE "D". High pitched sound of "ole" heard in second half every time Rutgers went for basket.
Free throws terrible. Missed ten...lost by two. Contrasted by lights out shooting against AIC.
Three point shooting terrible. Mr Clark, I'd suggest you set up shop under the basket.
I don't understand how Bashir got invited to the NBA combine. Look for a handful of good games this year from him. No more.
Front court weak, very weak, creampuff weak, Charmin soft. 80 year old private part soft. I'll leave it at that.

I don't believe Bashir was invited to the NBA combine
 
Anyone expecting anything from Amar is probably expecting the N.Y.Giants to win their next 6 games. Can't expect to win after getting 15 points totally from Owens, Bashir and Clark.
 
Here's a 6 minute Shamorie Ponds highlight reel from yesterday. The good, and the not so good (though I'm sure there was very little of the latter).

 
Here's a 6 minute Shamorie Ponds highlight reel from yesterday. The good, and the not so good (though I'm sure there was very little of the latter).



Sorry to self-quote, but the edit button does not seem to be working right now. Anyway, there does not appear to be anything bad re: Shamorie in these highlights. It just shows the last shot, after Rutgers scored. Seems like Simon got a decent look, all things considering.
 
Ahmed picked up right where he left off (not a good thing). With that being said im not panicking at all. I'd rather lose the game by 2 points and keep healthy roster than win and get somebody hurt like rutgers did. We clearly were the more talented team, but Rutgers played harder, no denying that. Glad this doesnt count and hope the team learns something from it..
 
Here's a 6 minute Shamorie Ponds highlight reel from yesterday. The good, and the not so good (though I'm sure there was very little of the latter).



Sorry to self-quote, but the edit button does not seem to be working right now. Anyway, there does not appear to be anything bad re: Shamorie in these highlights. It just shows the last shot, after Rutgers scored. Seems like Simon got a decent look, all things considering.


Justin Simon is a very good player but he let Issa go over him for the last shot. Hopefully he doesn't lose his man like Lovett and Ponds during the season or our high scoring guards will become known as the three Amigos with their "ole'" defense.
BTW, Rutgers is better than DePaul and Georgetown and is well coached. Had Clark decided to play some interior ball and Mullin has an actual offensive strategy we would have won easily. There were no set plays involving the front line and that is on the staff that seemed happy with long distance 3 balls.
 
Yes 72, if we had Arnold Red Auerbach as our coach we beat Rutgers. The problem is we are stuck with this staff as currently constituted at least through this season.
 
Freeman isn’t the player we need; ~70% of Freeman is the player we need. Frustrating that this has been pointing towards a need since at least the middle of last season between current and projected roster, and here we are again with that as an almost singular need on what looks to be a premium roster otherwise. Is what it is.

Still holding out hope that Owens, Clark, Ahmed, Simon and one of the guards at least presents optionality to go big effectively for stretches, but we’ll see.

Remain very encouraged about what Clark brings overall especially once he gets settled, but we heard from some knowledgeable folks not to necessarily expect him to be the primary answer inside. Think he’s going to help significantly on a number of fronts, but so far seems that may be the case regarding interior solutions.

Early but seems like staff’s plan is to emphasize strengths as opposed to covering weaknesses, go small and try to create mismatches on offensive end. Bring Owens and Yawke off bench for size/energy and limit foul exposure. Difficult to argue with that. The more this team can pull defenses away from the paint, they can put 4-5 guys on the floor at once who can take advantage of excess space. Nova’s been doing it for over a decade.

Big key to making that work though is that 5 have to defend and 5 have to rebound, obviously not the case last year and not jumping off the page as an improvement this year, although again very early. Season possibly turns on how much the first 8 guys in the rotation commit collectively to that effort.
 
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