(Baha Mar Hoops) #13 Baylor, Thu., Nov. 21, 7p, CBSSN

St. John’s vs. Baylor pick​

Baylor’s offensive attack has finally gained some confidence and taken shape.

Over their past three outings, the Bears rank 10th in points per game (93.3) despite ranking 272nd in KenPom’s adjusted tempo metric.

The Bears’ half-court offense and shooting (62.2% effective field goal percentage) have made them dangerous in that stretch. Despite a horrible first game against the Zags, they have the fifth-highest adjusted offensive efficiency rating this season.

However, it isn’t just their ability to hit shots that have propelled them into another stratosphere; they also rank third nationally in offensive rebounding percentage, allowing them to pile on second-chance points on opponents.

Unfortunately, I haven’t been impressed with St. John’s ability to secure defensive rebounds. The Johnnies rank 133rd in defensive rebounding percentage, which could be a death sentence against a team like Baylor that thrives on second-chance points.

I also see a world where Baylor slows the pace way down, forcing the Johnnies to play defense for most of the shot clock and limiting their transition opportunities.

The recipe for Baylor is simple: crash the offensive glass, move the ball around, slow the pace and keep the Johnnies out of the paint and in the half-court.

The Pick: Baylor -2.5 (-110, DraftKings)


 
Does anyone know if/where CBSSSN is on Spectrum in Manhattan? LMF is mid trial but was hoping to catch some while preparing
 
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