[quote="Beast of the East" post=315158][quote="L J S A" post=315157][quote="Beast of the East" post=315153]Let's not be foolish enough to think that the AD operates in complete autonomy. One thing I like about Mike is that he understands what it's like to have an iconic coach. An AD of Duke has little control over firing Coach K because of his track record as a coach.[/quote]
Coach K is an iconic coach for his coaching. Mullin is an iconic player who took up coaching. There's a big difference.
It doesn't really matter that the Duke AD has little control over K being fired because K hasn't given the school a reason to fire him in 36 years.
Do you really think Cragg would take this job if he wasn't the ultimate decision maker? If he tries to fire someone and some fanboys in the administration or board try to veto it, we're looking for a new AD . . . again. And given our track record, the next one won't be as good as Cragg.
If Ponds comes back and we continue winning, all is well. But what if he doesn't, and we slump and somehow miss tournament? That would be four years of no success and a fifth one on the horizon. Mullin wouldn't be long for the coaching world if that were to happen.
I certainly don't anticipate that happening, but the way we are constructed makes us the most precarious 14-3 team in the nation.
I'd been predicting 27 wins headed into the Big Dance for a while now, but it wouldn't take much for it to all come crashing down.[/quote]
It's funny, but you project that the next AD won't be as good as Cragg, but Cragg has never been an AD before, and while the initial vibe is positive, no one can point to a single accomplishment at Duke that is attributed to Mike or an accomplishment here that is proving to be transformative.
I believe Cragg will prove to be a very good hire, but he's never been in this position before so we will have to see, right?
If a coaching change is necessitated it will involve more than Mike, that's for certain and he knows that. It would be made in concert with Gempeshaw and sekect BOT members and probably Oliva. As it should be.
27 wins is not happening. You do realize we play 31 games, and already have 3 losses. I think at the top end 12-6, losing to Duke away, and a 12-0 OOC start would put us at 24 wins. I haven't wavered from 22 or 23 since preseason and if Ponds is healthy, is attainable[/quote]
I agree Beast, I thought 23-8 before the season started and it's still attainable as long as Ponds in healthy