Roster Turnover

ShrekII

ShrekII

Member
2022 $upporter
I'm not shocked at all of the departures, but I am happy that CMA seems to be focusing on our biggest weakness this past season.  DEFENSE.  We were 112 Defensively on kenpom (53rd in 2020) and only Butler had a worse D in the Big East.  This is where the loss of LJ was felt the most.  Wheeler was the best defender on a top 30ish D (Perdue) and is a big upgrade over all our forward defenders.  It is hard to judge how Smith will translate defensively to the Big East, but Vermont has been a very good defensive team the last few years.  Soriano is a really good rebouder and knows his strengths (0 3pt attempts) on a terrible Fordham team.
 
It makes sense to me the the New York basketball community is embracing Mike Anderson. If he is anything it is genuine. The last two coaches were full of hyperbole. 
 
I really like our additions so far, but I share the concern around shooting.
Wheeler - I find him really intriguing. He shot 36% from 3 has a Freshman, but 21% as a Soph. If he reverts to even a decent outside shooter he is a homerun. My concern is he has continued to take almost 2/3 of his shots from 3 even when he has been shooting poorly.

Soriano - perfect fit. Knows his game and seems to play to his strengths

Smith - If we get Junior year Smith great, If we get Senior year Smith, then I worry the bump in competition will hurt his efficiency.

Mathis - Great addition defensively, but I really worry about him offensively. He is a high usage, low efficiency offensive player. He seems like a relacement for Dunn in that sense.

CMA seems effective getting players to play to their strengths (Dunn, Moore?. I recognize the need for a Posh backup, but whomever we add I hope is a proven 3pt shooter.
 
The new transfer rules will make this the "new normal". Interesting to see how this impacts CMA's system/defense schemes. 
 
While the landscape has definitely changed, this year's figures of 1,300+ players is a bit of an anomaly.  I anticipate that in a couple years you'll see these numbers drop by 25-30% back below 1,000 transfers per year.

This year we've seen a lot of guys transferring for the 2nd and even 3rd time.  If those players had to sit how may of them would still transfer?  Additionally many of the transfers are guys using their 5th year of COVID eligibility.  There will be less and less of those over the next 2-3 years after which 5th year transfers will revert back to Grand Transfer numbers of the past, and probably even lower.  I am assuming if someone used their free transfer after their Soph year they will no longer be able to take their free grad transfer.  If I'm wrong Moose can correct me as usual.

One thing that is for sure is that it will become equally, and probably more, important to be able to recruit the free transfer market than the HS recruiting market since the recruits you bring in from HS will now be exponentially less likely to finish their careers at your program, and of course are less experienced and proven than guys who have already been successful at another D1 program.
 
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