NBA Draft 2025

Sometimes landing on a tanking team can be good for our NBA hopefuls. I still remember the Sixers tanking so hard during the mid 2010s they actually had Jakarr Sampson running a little point guard😂
JaKarr is a good example for non draftees to keep their heads up. 7 years in the league, after his first 2 seasons with Philly, spent time with Denver, Sacramento, Chicago and Indy.
 
Interesting observations about and from RJ, as well as other draft notes:



"Say I go back to college, I get a large amount of money, but then what?"

Then you can sleep a little better at night knowing you have developed an adult size nest egg before you even enter the professional work force.
 
"Say I go back to college, I get a large amount of money, but then what?"

Then you can sleep a little better at night knowing you have developed an adult size nest egg before you even enter the professional work force.

I get where he's coming from. He figures that his stock is never going to be higher. If he comes out now he has a chance to be drafted, and if he doesn't get drafted he has a shot of playing his way in. Whereas if he waits another year he banks more money now, but his stock will not improve and may go down, and thus reduces his chances of being drafted or of a team giving him a serious chance to play his way in (due in part to age).

So he decided to seize the moment with the best chance of potential success, and he was willing to give up the surer money to do that.

I am not saying it is the decision I would have made or advised my kid to make, but then I tend to be risk-averse. But if he believes in himself and wants to bet on himself and pursue his dream, that's his choice. Hope it works out for him.
 
I am not saying it is the decision I would have made or advised my kid to make, but then I tend to be risk-averse.

Ditto. I guess as parents we have a different perspective. Apparently either his parents feel differently or didn't have as much influence as I pretend to have over my kids decisions.
 
Good for him. By the way, Kalkbrenner is almost one year older than RJ. He clearly decided last year that playing a senior year in college wouldn't hurt his draft prospects and he was right. I hope it works out for RJ, I have a sickening feeling he got some very bad advice.
I hear what you're saying but I think Kalk to RJ is something of an apples-to-oranges comparison.

Kalk had a very consistent trajectory over a five year college career. There's barely any difference between what he was last year and what he was this year. His draft valuation was probably just about the same both years. My guess is the NIL money was about the same for him coming out or staying and he preferred to stay.

RJ on the other hand went from zero to 60 from last year to this one. There's a lot of uncertainty about what you're getting from him as a pro - could be great, but could go the other way too. And if he came back in a different system with a different coach there's no way to know what that would have looked like or what impact it would have had on his draft stock.

Overall I think they both made the right decision, Kalk staying the extra year and RJ not. And hopefully it will work out for both of them.
 
I hear what you're saying but I think Kalk to RJ is something of an apples-to-oranges comparison.

Kalk had a very consistent trajectory over a five year college career. There's barely any difference between what he was last year and what he was this year. His draft valuation was probably just about the same both years. My guess is the NIL money was about the same for him coming out or staying and he preferred to stay.
I may be wrong about this, but I thought Kalkbrenner last year was projected as a late second round pick at best--ie, similar situation as to RJ this year. He improved his standing quite a bit this year.
 

Good for Kalk. I get all the Hornets games on TV here and for last few years only dialed them in when they were playing the Knicks. But this year with Ball, Miller and Bridges back and newbies Knueppel, McNeely & Kalk they will be an interesting watch. They are weak in the middle so Kalk may get some playing time.
 
I hear what you're saying but I think Kalk to RJ is something of an apples-to-oranges comparison.

Kalk had a very consistent trajectory over a five year college career. There's barely any difference between what he was last year and what he was this year. His draft valuation was probably just about the same both years. My guess is the NIL money was about the same for him coming out or staying and he preferred to stay.

RJ on the other hand went from zero to 60 from last year to this one. There's a lot of uncertainty about what you're getting from him as a pro - could be great, but could go the other way too. And if he came back in a different system with a different coach there's no way to know what that would have looked like or what impact it would have had on his draft stock.

Overall I think they both made the right decision, Kalk staying the extra year and RJ not. And hopefully it will work out for both of them.
Yeah, Kalk was in a similar position to RJ. heading into the year. As you know, they are very different players and positions, so I always figured Kalk would end up getting drafted in the 2nd at worst. You won't have to worry about him taking too many shots, letting offense impact defense, and his size. He's a classic high floor, low ceiling prospect.

The only thing that can lead me to believe RJ was given bad advice is that he said he was a late first, early second guy. That was always objectively not true. Every informed NBA mock guy barely had him in, and when they had a chance to talk about him, it was never flattering. I'm not sure if he was fed that info, or if it was self-delusion.

The 2026 draft is also expected to be deep. So if you're RJ and you're one year older, are you really giving yourself a better chance to be drafted? It's questionable. Maybe if he was here and was more satisfied in a 3/D role + we won big, he would. But that notion is laughable, which is why he wasn't drafted in the first place.

I am curious to see what decisions Jackson and Sanon make.
 
Interesting to keep in mind as we start to track our own guy's draft stocks for next year


"The most forward-thinking of those executives are already ringing alarm bells in their front offices for the 2027 NBA draft, which appears to be an especially weak group of rising high school seniors and international players born in 2007 and 2008.

"This is one of the weakest high school classes I've seen in a long time," one grizzled talent evaluator with extensive experience in the amateur youth space told ESPN.

"There might not be a single All-Star in this group, and after the first few prospects, I'm not sure how many NBA starters I see either from the other five-star recruits. New players always emerge, but by now we usually have a pretty good idea of who the most elite prospects are, and it's looking like slim pickings, even more so than the weak 2024 NBA draft, which at least had several high-end international prospects we could point to."

College coaches making the rounds at summer league have echoed similar thoughts, saying they've been largely underwhelmed by the lack of star power among prospects ranked at the top of the 2026 recruiting class. This is causing them to plan on being even more aggressive in the transfer portal rather than spending significant sums on five-star prospects who might not be good enough to make impacts as freshmen at the college level."

__

This becomes relevant to us in thinking about Jackson and Sanon. If they are in that 25-40 range at the end of the season, does returning become more plausible because of how apparently weak the 2027 draft is projected to be?

Obviously its July and all premature, but definitely will be on the back of my mind as the season starts
 

"56. St. John’s wing RJ Luis
A boom-or-bust type guy. Great rebounder and excellent defender. He improved as a shooter, but I don’t know if I fully trust his shot yet. I do trust his motor, his competitive spirit, his energy. I think that’ll translate really, really well. Probably wouldn’t say I’d predict he was going to be Big East Player of the Year, but he has a toughness to him. He has all the tools to do everything that’s needed at that level. It seems like he’s a guy that really, really wants to score the ball and kind of bases how his game is going on that, and he’ll probably be a role guy at that next level. How does that go? Who knows?"

Sleeper:
"St. John’s guard Kadary Richmond
RJ Luis was an absolute load to deal with, and Zuby Ejiofor was good too, but I think Richmond was such a domino in them winning. He has real size as a point guard and great feel defensively. At times it looks like he’s somewhat lost out there, but then he makes these plays that are incredible.

It’s hard to play guys who can’t shoot. That’s going to be something that is going to get scrutinized to the highest level because it’s so important up there. But playing against him, he feels like a guy that over time as you’ve coached and watched guys who have made it, you watch him and think, that guy makes it. If you were to look at his stats over his career, when he actually played versus when he didn’t play and the impact it had on his team, even going back to Seton Hall, he impacts winning. It seemed like his decision making really improved this past year. He was just more sound, not as loose with the ball. His deal might be a guy that has to bounce around some, but wouldn’t be shocked if he gets up there and finds a role somewhere."

Deep sleeper:
Aaron Scott will surprise some people in workouts. Not to get drafted, but I could see him playing Summer League and getting an Exhibit 10 or a two-way and making it from there, because he’s a better shooter than his percentage.
This 2025 profile of Zuby is supposedly from nba.com. with this glaring error, it makes me wonder how legitimate this is and as a resource to consider in the future

Projection
The combination of size and strength mixed with Ejiofor’s propensity for creating extra opportunities on the glass would make him an ideal depth piece in the frontcourt for a number of NBA teams. Playing for a coach like John Calipari at St. John’s has also been beneficial for the Texas native as he’s improved at setting screens, defending, handling the rock and playing within a system. He shot 22.2% from 3 this past season on 1.2 attempts per game, so continuing to work on his range would only help his already solid offensive game. Ejiofor has the size and similar skillsets to Isaiah Stewart and Jarace Walker.

— Profile by RotoWire.com
 
This 2025 profile of Zuby is supposedly from nba.com. with this glaring error, it makes me wonder how legitimate this is and as a resource to consider in the future

Projection
The combination of size and strength mixed with Ejiofor’s propensity for creating extra opportunities on the glass would make him an ideal depth piece in the frontcourt for a number of NBA teams. Playing for a coach like John Calipari at St. John’s has also been beneficial for the Texas native as he’s improved at setting screens, defending, handling the rock and playing within a system. He shot 22.2% from 3 this past season on 1.2 attempts per game, so continuing to work on his range would only help his already solid offensive game. Ejiofor has the size and similar skillsets to Isaiah Stewart and Jarace Walker.

— Profile by RotoWire.com
Written by rotowire, which was formerly a credible fantasy sports website, but is now owned by gambling.com. Wouldn't shock me at all if this was written by AI.
 
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