Harrison's scoring average over/under 20?

M

Marillac

Active member
 What do you guys think? I was just looking at his stats. According to Yahoo he averaged 17.0 PPG as a freshman! That is insane for so many reasons, not the least of which was him being the only shooter on team that shot over 26% from deep.

Reasons he could exceed: we lose the #2 scoring option in Moe, we have a pure point in place starting December to penetrate and kick, more shooters to limit the focuson defenses give him, Harrison will be bigger and stronger, and Harrison has more experience and maturity. Also, there will probably be more close games and, as the best FT shooter on the team and one of the best handles, the ball will be tucked in his hands to end games and he could rack up some serious ppg.

Reasons that might hold him back: More depth in the backcourt, more shooters, more scoring options on the court than last year, and a faster pace which will spead out the scoring.

I'm going with 20.3 ppg of 3'Angelo!
 
 IMO under .. He won't have to carry the offensive load like he did last year. Hopefully he can match last years ppg total.
 
 Nice analysis! I project between 18 and 20 per game. It will be interesting if we can get a running game going. That may benefit others more than Harrison.
 
I'm actually going to take the over. The ball might be going into more people's hands and we will have older, talented scorers, D'Angelo is the de facto leader of this team now. We all know what he's capable of when the light shines brightest.

In fact, if Harrison isn't voted as a preseason honorable mention All-Big East, I'd be surprised.
 
Under for the same reasons Happy just said and I think now with reinforcements Lavin is going to want to give him a few more minutes off per game.

I'm going with 18.1ppg
 
Very few guys average 20 or more in college. I say that 18 or so is about right. 
 
I'll say under hoping some of the other guys pick up some slack with a year of experience under there belt.
 
 
All good points, guys. 20 ppg is really a tall task for anyone, but I think this kid is sensational. I'd put him up against any player in the country with everything he brings to the table.

I can't wait until he starts ending teams' seasons with last second shots in March.
 
 I think hell come in just under at about 18.4 PPG. I think well see a better deangelo in a number of areas though. Im sure the staff is working on his explosiveness as well as his defense. With a good year from the team I see no reason why he shouldn't be a first team all big east member. Kid is just AWESOME!
 
I say he starts out over 20 but as Branch works into the system in December and the new recruits gain confidence that will drop. This isn't a bad thing. I think the drop off will not be that significant though, as I believe there are more offensive weapons that will prevent defenses from just focusing on Harrison and you will have Branch to feed him the ball - not to mention I believe I read somewhere that Sanchez can pass as well. I could see both Sanchez and Sampson eventually drawing more defenders, opeing up Harrison (or Felix) to receive many outlet passes. I think by mid season Harrison is touching the ball less but getting much better looks at open shots.   
 
I say he starts out over 20 but as Branch works into the system in December and the new recruits gain confidence that will drop. This isn't a bad thing. I think the drop off will not be that significant though, as I believe there are more offensive weapons that will prevent defenses from just focusing on Harrison and you will have Branch to feed him the ball - not to mention I believe I read somewhere that Sanchez can pass as well. I could see both Sanchez and Sampson eventually drawing more defenders, opeing up Harrison (or Felix) to receive many outlet passes. I think by mid season Harrison is touching the ball less but getting much better looks at open shots.   
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hahaha...is it bad that I keep forgetting that Branch joins the team in late December?
 
I 'll say 17 again which will be harder to do since the team is so different with more options. He'll still be the # 1 option in crunch time though 
 
If he doesn't get 20, it's going to be right around there.

I think the increased depth/talent this year is going to cancel out on both sides (they'll be more scoring options and he'll play a few less minutes...but the increase in talent won't allow teams to focus on him the way they did last year). The latter can't be overlooked. The last 15ish games of the season you could tell the opposing defensive gameplan was all about limiting him. He averaged 20.1 the last 14 games. As a fresh. Playing 35+ with a short roster. He is a sensational talent with that intangible knack to put the ball in the basket in a variety of ways, and you can tell he has a drive to be the best player on the court. Could not have been an iota more impressed with him this year...and even still don't think we've come close to seeing the best of him yet.

Something else to consider is that he didn't shoot the ball particularly well from behind the arc the first half of the year. Those same final 14 games he really started to stick from 3. 42%, and that includes 3/15 the last two games. Take those two out and he's 46% over 12 games, givign us a glimpse of the type of fire he can catch for a prolonged period. And again, that's with defenses focusing most of their attention on taking him away, as well as him being asked to have the ball in his hands a lot. This year we'll be able to spread defenses out more in the half court, get him off more screens, and let Branch/Greene develop the drive and pitch game more.
 
Very few guys average 20 or more in college. I say that 18 or so is about right. 
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That is why I'm taking the under. 17 players out of say 4,000 scored 20 or more last year.
 
Very few guys average 20 or more in college. I say that 18 or so is about right. 
Click to expand...
 

That is why I'm taking the under. 17 players out of say 4,000 scored 20 or more last year.
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Ahhh, but that figure cuts both ways. Only one of the players that averaged over 20 ppg this past season, C.J. McCollum, had a higher scoring average than Harrison as a frosh.
 
 I don't really care what he averages. He will have a lot more help on the court overall this year though. Teams are not going to want to see Harrison leading this squad. He improved sooo much last season, I expect him leaner, stronger and even better this season. I thought he was All Big East quality last season. Dangerous this year,
 
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