Doing the Math

RedStormRising

Well-known member
I was a little bored looking at spread sheets today at work and it got me thinking.

I think we beat Nova at Nova 1 out of 4 times
We beat DePaul at home 9 out of 10 times
We beat Xavier at home 6 out of 10 times
and Marq at Marq 6 out of 10 times

Which means

Chances we go:
4 - 0 8.1%
3 - 1 36.0%
2 - 2 39.9%
1 - 3 14.8%
0 - 4 1.2%

Which means we get into the tournament 44.1% of the time out right and we'd be bubbled 39.9% of the time and out without a big east tournament win 16% of the time.

This is just probability calculations. The fan in me says we have a much better shot at beating Nova and Marq then I'm giving us credit for.
 
I was a little bored looking at spread sheets today at work and it got me thinking.

I think we beat Nova at Nova 1 out of 4 times
We beat DePaul at home 9 out of 10 times
We beat Xavier at home 6 out of 10 times
and Marq at home 6 out of 10 times

Which means

Chances we go:
4 - 0 8.1%
3 - 1 36.0%
2 - 2 39.9%
1 - 3 14.8%
0 - 4 1.2%

Which means we get into the tournament 44.1% of the time out right and we'd be bubbled 39.9% of the time and out without a big east tournament win 16% of the time.

This is just probability calculations. The fan in me says we have a much better shot at beating Nova and Marq then I'm giving us credit for.


Marquette game is in Milwaukee.
 
I was a little bored looking at spread sheets today at work and it got me thinking.

I think we beat Nova at Nova 1 out of 4 times
We beat DePaul at home 9 out of 10 times
We beat Xavier at home 6 out of 10 times
and Marq at home 6 out of 10 times

Which means

Chances we go:
4 - 0 8.1%
3 - 1 36.0%
2 - 2 39.9%
1 - 3 14.8%
0 - 4 1.2%

Which means we get into the tournament 44.1% of the time out right and we'd be bubbled 39.9% of the time and out without a big east tournament win 16% of the time.

This is just probability calculations. The fan in me says we have a much better shot at beating Nova and Marq then I'm giving us credit for.

Yes. The game against Marquette is on the road. Nice math work. I don't have the patience to check it.
 
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