RedStormRising
Well-known member
I was a little bored looking at spread sheets today at work and it got me thinking.
I think we beat Nova at Nova 1 out of 4 times
We beat DePaul at home 9 out of 10 times
We beat Xavier at home 6 out of 10 times
and Marq at Marq 6 out of 10 times
Which means
Chances we go:
4 - 0 8.1%
3 - 1 36.0%
2 - 2 39.9%
1 - 3 14.8%
0 - 4 1.2%
Which means we get into the tournament 44.1% of the time out right and we'd be bubbled 39.9% of the time and out without a big east tournament win 16% of the time.
This is just probability calculations. The fan in me says we have a much better shot at beating Nova and Marq then I'm giving us credit for.
I think we beat Nova at Nova 1 out of 4 times
We beat DePaul at home 9 out of 10 times
We beat Xavier at home 6 out of 10 times
and Marq at Marq 6 out of 10 times
Which means
Chances we go:
4 - 0 8.1%
3 - 1 36.0%
2 - 2 39.9%
1 - 3 14.8%
0 - 4 1.2%
Which means we get into the tournament 44.1% of the time out right and we'd be bubbled 39.9% of the time and out without a big east tournament win 16% of the time.
This is just probability calculations. The fan in me says we have a much better shot at beating Nova and Marq then I'm giving us credit for.