Chances We Make Tournament?

Jack Williams

Jack Williams

Well-known member
2023 $upporter
I know it is way early, but what do you think our chances are at this point? With the roster we have and the scheudle what do you think is going to happen?

I look at this big east conference and see a bunch of games that are toss ups. Butler, Marquette, Providence, DePaul, Xavier, Creighton. All of those games I have no idea how they will go. Obviously we lost to butler, but it was a close game, and we are gonna see a lot more of those.

We are going to need to pull out some close games this year to make the tournament. Hopefully we sweep DePaul and Creighton, as I think they are the two weakest teams in the conference. St Mary's beat Creighton at Creighton don't see why we couldn't.

Hopefully rysheed comes back, didn't realize how much we need that guy until last night. Talk about a throwback game last night. Felt like three years ago, back when Dangelo just took every shot.

My honest prediction based on what I saw last night is this team is going to be in close games against the teams I listed above, if we pull out a good number of them and get to 10 wins I think we can make the tournament.

Anything less, which I could also see happening because these games are just toss ups, would require a run in the BET or winning the BET.
 
I know it is way early, but what do you think our chances are at this point? With the roster we have and the scheudle what do you think is going to happen?

I look at this big east conference and see a bunch of games that are toss ups. Butler, Marquette, Providence, DePaul, Xavier, Creighton. All of those games I have no idea how they will go. Obviously we lost to butler, but it was a close game, and we are gonna see a lot more of those.

We are going to need to pull out some close games this year to make the tournament. Hopefully we sweep DePaul and Creighton, as I think they are the two weakest teams in the conference. St Mary's beat Creighton at Creighton don't see why we couldn't.

Hopefully rysheed comes back, didn't realize how much we need that guy until last night. Talk about a throwback game last night. Felt like three years ago, back when Dangelo just took every shot.

My honest prediction based on what I saw last night is this team is going to be in close games against the teams I listed above, if we pull out a good number of them and get to 10 wins I think we can make the tournament.

Anything less, which I could also see happening because these games are just toss ups, would require a run in the BET or winning the BET.
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Would not venture to answer that until we have played the next 3 games . If we are 0=5 you have the answer
 
Thirty nine per cent sounds about right if all five starters remain perfectly healthy. Then subtract five per cent for a minor sprain,ten per cent for a more serious sprain and twenty per cent for a major injury.
 
With the squad we had two weeks ago...90%

With the squad we have right now...30%
 
With the squad we had two weeks ago...90%

With the squad we have right now...30%
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5% without Jordan because even a blind squirrel finds a nut once in awhile
 
With the squad we had two weeks ago...90%

With the squad we have right now...30%
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5% without Jordan because even a blind squirrel finds a nut once in awhile
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Trying really hard to be positive! I still can't believe how quickly the tide has turned YET AGAIN for us. I guess a few weeks of success was all that was meant for us? You just can't make this crap up. So angry right now!
 
we will make the dance, trust me. DAngelo is not going out like that. I trust that kid. I think these kids are going to give everything they have. we will finish with 22 wins.
 
we will make the dance, trust me. DAngelo is not going out like that. I trust that kid. I think these kids are going to give everything they have. we will finish with 22 wins.
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I agree I think the kids will give all they have. Shorthanded it's going to be tough so I chose my 39% because that's Phil G's fg%. If it goes up so do our chances

If Jordan gets in line with the program than our chances go up measurably obviously
 
DLo will give it all he has. But he did last night and came up short to one of the least impressive big east teams I've watched this year
 
1/5
Even before we lost Jordan there were signs that lower competition was masking some of our weakneses. We were getting very lucky that teams were missing free throws, and our defensive numbers were buoyed by playing mostly at home.
at the end of the day this group has never consistently scored in the halfcourt. We've seen it for 4 years.

We're now essentially the same team we had last season but without Jordan, Sampson, and Sanchez.
 
I don't see any way we make the tournament without Jordan. D'Lo is a warrior who has improved in just about every way possible in his time here. I want him to make the tournament so bad it hurts.

As for Butler, I think people are shorting them credit. This is not the same squad we saw last year. They are a lot tougher, much more physical and legitimately a very good defensive team. Are they world beaters: no. But, they will make you work for every inch, earn everything you get and keep things close enough to allow Dunham the chance to get hot and beat you. Ironically, we tried to turn up the heat on them which would have been the play if we had enough bodies to play full court pressure and sub enough to keep fresh legs the whole game. But, in our situation, it may have been best to just play solid half court d. Dunham shot 6-7 and got three of those open looks (all converted) were on a lucky bounce (loose ball scramble for ball went to him in the corner), D'Lo slipping and falling down (although D'Lo was out of position and his hustle to recover resulted in the slip) and a misguided attempt to zone Butler. I think they will be middle of the pack.

The most troubling aspect (other than Jordan) of the past week is that we saw the return of this team not valuing each and every possession. Against Seton Hall and Butler we saw ill advised shots early in the possession. A Greene jumper off the dribble. A Dom three pointer. A Branch pull up 18 footer. A Dom turnaround jumper from 15 ft. A Jordan semi-contested three pointer. You can get these types of shots any time you want and they are a much different level of look vice a Greene open jumper with feet set. A Dom open 15 footer with his feet set. A Branch pull up 15 footer. A Dom tunaround from inside 10 ft. A Jordan semi-contested 15 footer or wide open three. These are all decent looks. No need to take the first grouping unless the shot clock is under 5. It's certainly not what you want with 20+ seconds left on the shot clock. I thought we had grown past this during the pre-conference schedule...but it returned in the past week.

Win or lose...I want to see clean basketball. Taking what the defense gives you. Finding ways to probe the defense that forces them to make decisions they don't want to make. identifying what the other team wants to do on offense and making that tougher or take it away. Make someone other than the best player find a way to beat you. That's good basketball. That's fun to watch. That's winning basketball. The % of time we saw this this from the second half of Minnesota through Tulane was higher than the past three years. That's why we were winning. We reverted back to our prior level of execution last week. That's worrysome.
 
We'll make the tourney with or without Jordan. Our seniors will not settle for anything less. If he comes back we'll obviously have a better shot to make a run once we get there.

It was an awful week for us but don't give up. A win Tuesday night and we are in fine shape once again.
 
I know it is way early, but what do you think our chances are at this point? With the roster we have and the scheudle what do you think is going to happen?

I look at this big east conference and see a bunch of games that are toss ups. Butler, Marquette, Providence, DePaul, Xavier, Creighton. All of those games I have no idea how they will go. Obviously we lost to butler, but it was a close game, and we are gonna see a lot more of those.

We are going to need to pull out some close games this year to make the tournament. Hopefully we sweep DePaul and Creighton, as I think they are the two weakest teams in the conference. St Mary's beat Creighton at Creighton don't see why we couldn't.

Hopefully rysheed comes back, didn't realize how much we need that guy until last night. Talk about a throwback game last night. Felt like three years ago, back when Dangelo just took every shot.

My honest prediction based on what I saw last night is this team is going to be in close games against the teams I listed above, if we pull out a good number of them and get to 10 wins I think we can make the tournament.

Anything less, which I could also see happening because these games are just toss ups, would require a run in the BET or winning the BET.
Click to expand...
A 5 player squad does not win the close ones down the stretch. By then the big 5 are either beat or have fouled out. We need 10 point cushion with 2 to play to maybe hang on. We might win a few home games but will be dogs in almost all road games. Having to win 10 of 16 now would be monumental achievement.
 
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